In which case will the Indonesian team enter the AFF Cup semi-finals?

After 4 matches in the AFF Cup group stage, the Vietnamese team is ranked first in Group B with 7 points (goal difference +4), Indonesia is ranked second in the group with 4 points (goal difference 0), Myanmar is ranked 3rd with 4 points (goal difference 0), the Philippines is ranked 4th with 3 points (goal difference 0). It should be added that although Indonesia and Myanmar both have 4 points and a goal difference of 0, the team from the archipelago (who beat Myanmar 1-0 in the first match of the group stage) is ranked higher because of a better head-to-head record.

The race for the two semi-final tickets in Group B is still undecided. In particular, the Indonesian team has lost the right to decide. In the final match, coach Shin Tae-yong's team needs to draw or win against the Philippines, while waiting for the final result of the match between Vietnam and Myanmar.

The Indonesian team (middle) lost 0-1 to Vietnam at the AFF Cup 2024 on December 15.

So, in what case will the Myanmar team advance?

Accordingly, the Indonesian team needs to win or draw with the Philippines, and Vietnam must not lose to Myanmar. At that time, Vietnam and Indonesia will both be present in the semi-finals of the AFF Cup 2024.

Specifically, in the case of Indonesia and Vietnam both having a draw in the final round: Vietnam will top the group with 8 points, while Indonesia and Myanmar will both have 5 points. In the AFF Cup, the head-to-head record is considered first, so Indonesia will continue with the second position in Group B because it is above Myanmar.

Group B standings before the final round of matches

A risky situation that the Indonesian team may face is if Vietnam loses to Myanmar by 1 goal, but scores goals like: 1-2, 2-3... If this happens, the Indonesian team will definitely be eliminated because of the inferior goal difference, regardless of the score of coach Shin Tae-yong and his team's victory over the Philippines.

In addition, there is also a case where Indonesia and Myanmar will both advance, while Vietnam is eliminated. This happens when Indonesia wins against the Philippines, and at the same time Vietnam loses to Myanmar with a difference of 2 goals or more (for example 0-2, 1-3, ...).

However, the possibility of Vietnam losing to Myanmar by 2 goals or more is considered unlikely. Instead, believing that Vietnam will not lose to Myanmar is probably a more feasible option for football fans in the archipelago country.

Asean Mitsubishi Electric Cup 2024 is broadcast live and in full on FPT Play, at: http://fptplay.vn

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/doi-tuyen-indonesia-vao-ban-ket-aff-cup-trong-truong-hop-nao-185241221013909251.htm