Coffee prices move in opposite directions, fear prices may fall further

Domestic coffee prices have turned down after rising yesterday, while world prices have increased well. However, in summary, over the past few months, after reaching the peak, coffee prices have shown a clear downward trend and are likely to decrease further.

Although prices have tended to decrease recently, coffee is still bringing good profits to growers - Photo: N.TRI

According to information from many gardeners and agents, on the afternoon of July 17, the domestic green coffee bean price was commonly traded at 91,000 - 92,300 VND/kg depending on the region, down about 3,000 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Specifically, traders in Lam Dong province are purchasing coffee at 91,200 VND/kg. Similarly, coffee prices in Dak Lak and Dong Nai provinces are at 91,700 - 92,300 VND/kg. Coffee prices in Gia Lai province have dropped to 91,500 VND/kg.

Thus, after increasing by more than 6,000 VND/kg on July 15, the price then turned to decrease. Although there were fluctuations, in general, the main trend over many months was that the price decreased. Specifically, from the record peak of 135,500 VND/kg (early March 2025), the coffee price gradually decreased and has now decreased by nearly 45,000 VND/kg.

Meanwhile, at the end of last night's trading session, early this morning, July 17 (Vietnam time), Robusta coffee prices on the London - UK exchange increased from 0.56% - 1.53%; while Arabica prices on the New York - US exchange increased from 3.34% - 3.73%.

Specifically, Robusta coffee futures for September 2025 delivery are priced at 3,427 USD/ton, up 19 USD/ton; November 2025 delivery is priced at 3,396 USD/ton, up 37 USD/ton; January 2026 delivery is priced at 3,363 USD/ton, up 46 USD/ton; March 2026 delivery is priced at 3,340 USD/ton, up 49 USD/ton.

Arabica coffee price for September 2025 delivery increased by 240 USD/ton, to 6,800 USD/ton.

Speaking to Tuoi Tre Online recently, Mr. Nguyen Nam Hai - Chairman of the Vietnam Coffee - Cocoa Association - said that the general trend of coffee prices will decrease due to relatively abundant supply, especially the two leading exporting countries, Brazil (mainly Arabica) and Vietnam (Robusta), are expected to have increased output compared to the previous crop.

"The fluctuation of coffee prices mainly occurs in the short term, mainly due to the impacts of financial investment activities, world political developments... However, in the long term, coffee prices will hardly increase sharply and return to the previous record level. Instead, a decrease will be the main trend," Mr. Hai commented.

Many experts believe that coffee prices falling to 75,000 - 80,000 VND/kg is a problem that could happen this year, or even lower, due to a sharp increase in output next year as people increase investment, care, and new planting areas increase.

However, many gardeners said that the current price is twice as high as many years ago, in addition, this year's coffee crop is relatively good, with yields reaching 2-4 tons of beans/ha. Therefore, the profit from coffee trees is still quite good./.

According to tuoitre.vn

Source: https://tuoitre.vn/gia-ca-phe-dien-bien-trai-chieu-lo-ngai-gia-co-the-giam-them-20250717163828221.htm

Source: https://baolongan.vn/gia-ca-phe-dien-bien-trai-chieu-lo-ngai-gia-co-the-giam-them-a198953.html