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Unpredictable scenario at the 2025 Southeast Asian U23 Championship

Host U23 Indonesia won two consecutive matches in Group A of the 2025 Southeast Asian U23 Championship, but could still be eliminated if they stumble in the final round.

Báo Tuổi TrẻBáo Tuổi Trẻ19/07/2025

U23 Đông Nam Á - Ảnh 1.

U23 Indonesia will lose the top spot and the official ticket to the semi-finals if they lose to Malaysia in the final round - Photo: ANH KHOA

On the evening of July 18, in the second match of Group A of the 2025 Southeast Asian U23 Championship, the U23 Indonesia team defeated the Philippines 1-0, while the U23 Malaysia team crushed Brunei 7-1.

So after two matches, U23 Indonesia is temporarily leading with 6 absolute points. U23 Philippines and U23 Malaysia (both with 3 points) share the next 2 positions. At the bottom of the table is U23 Brunei, which has not won any points and has been officially eliminated.

With this score, U23 Indonesia is holding a big advantage in winning the top spot and the only official ticket to continue.

Specifically, U23 Indonesia only needs to draw with Malaysia in the final match of Group A on July 21 to be sure to continue as the top team in Group A.

Because the 2025 Southeast Asian U23 Tournament considers confrontation when teams have the same number of points, the possibility of U23 Indonesia being eliminated is not small.

This case happens when U23 Indonesia loses to Malaysia, and U23 Philippines fails to beat Brunei. At that time, U23 Indonesia and Malaysia have the same 6 points, but Malaysia will top the group and officially qualify for the next round thanks to a direct win over the home team.

Things could get even more complicated if Malaysia U23 defeats Indonesia and Philippines U23 defeats Brunei. If this happens, the three teams of Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines U23 will have 6 points. At that time, the head-to-head record between these three teams will be taken into account.

Currently, U23 Philippines is leading the head-to-head record with U23 Malaysia and Indonesia. Specifically, U23 Philippines has 3 points, goal difference 2/1. U23 Indonesia is in 2nd place with 3 points, goal difference 1/0 and at the bottom is Malaysia with no points, goal difference 0/2.

Thus, U23 Philippines has a big advantage if the 3 teams have 6 points. They will top the group if Malaysia beats Indonesia by 2 goals or less. U23 Philippines will only lose the top spot to U23 Malaysia if U23 Malaysia beats Indonesia by 3 goals or more.

With the current situation, U23 Indonesia only needs to lose to U23 Malaysia to almost lose the top spot in the group and the official ticket to continue.

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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/kich-ban-kho-luong-o-giai-u23-dong-nam-a-2025-20250719103220842.htm


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