Ugledar tragedy may happen again in Pokrovsk

Three Russian roads surrounding Pokrovsk, including the T0515 highway, are in danger, the Ugledar tragedy could happen again in Pokrovsk.

Recently, the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield has changed significantly, and Pokrovsk has become the focus of attention. The Russian Armed Forces (RFAF) have surrounded Pokrovsk from three different directions, and the T0515 highway is also in a very dangerous state, making people worry whether the Ugledar tragedy will happen again?

The developments on the Pokrovsk front indicate that the Russia-Ukraine conflict has entered a more complicated phase. According to a battlefield report released by the Russian Ministry of Defense on July 4, Russian troops have successfully occupied the village of Razine north of the T0504 highway, just 8 kilometers from Pokrovsk.

The capture of this strategically important position not only created siege pressure from the northeast of Pokrovsk, but also enabled the RFAF to deploy its drone force to monitor and attack targets on the T0515 highway around the clock.

At the same time, another important highway, the E50, which connects Pokrovsk with the western region, along with the T0515, is considered the “backbone of the Donetsk defense line (the area still controlled by Kiev)”. This road from Pokrovsk to the city of Pavlograd in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, is also at risk of being controlled by the RFAF.

Once the E50 highway falls into the hands of the RFAF, the supply route to Pokrovsk will be dealt a fatal blow. Geographically, the RFAF now has Pokrovsk surrounded from the east, south, and north. The retreat route of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) is gradually being cut off, and the situation is becoming increasingly dire and full of crises.

For the Ukrainian army stationed in Pokrovsk, the T0515 highway is a vital supply route. Now, as Russian troops continue to advance westward, the route is threatened by FPV UAVs and artillery fire.

Previously, the AFU could rely on the T0515 road to supply vital supplies such as ammunition, food, and medicine from the rear. But now, as the Russian encirclement continues to close in, AFU convoys are regularly attacked.

According to Ukrainian media, since May, the AFU has paid a heavy price for maintaining this supply route. Not only have vehicles suffered heavy losses, but the amount of supplies reaching Pokrovsk has also decreased sharply. Currently, this "lifeline" is under threat and could be completely cut off at any time.

Looking back at the Battle of Ugledar, the Ukrainian army was isolated and helpless by the RFAF because its supply lines were cut off. Eventually, running out of ammunition and food, they were forced to choose between surrender or being annihilated. The painful losses were obvious.

The current situation in Pokrovsk is very similar to the situation before the Battle of Ugledar. It is also surrounded by Russian troops on three sides, and the supply line crisis is getting worse. If the T0515 and E50 highways are completely controlled by the RFAF, the AFU in Pokrovsk is very likely to repeat the mistake of Ugledar.

At present, the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army in Pokrovsk has been severely weakened by fierce fighting on the front line, and weapons and equipment are difficult to supply in a timely manner. The crisis in their supply lines makes their situation even more dangerous.

Although the commander of the Ukrainian army, General Syrsky, has vowed to do his best to stabilize the front line and ensure supplies, the actual operation is facing huge challenges.

The logistics of Pokrovsk and the western Donetsk region (controlled by Ukraine) previously depended on rail transport; but now it was inoperable due to Russian bombing. The new supply route was not only ineffective but also constantly blocked by Russian fire.

Although the situation in Pokrovsk is very difficult, according to State Duma Deputy and Commander of the 7th Assault Brigade of the RFAF Volunteer Corps, Alexander Borodai, the AFU will try to maintain control over Pokrovsk to the end, because there are also several coke mines owned by Ukrainian tycoon Renat Akhmetov.

The AFU will try to maintain control over Pokrovsk, because losing the city would mean losing Akhmetov's coal enterprises, which play a huge role in Ukraine's metallurgical industry. Therefore, there is no need to expect a quick liberation of the city.

Earlier, it was reported that the AFU General Staff was trying to stop the RFAF's advance, by sending elite infantry units and UAVs to Pokrovsk. However, the Russian troops continued to advance.

The Military Review website said that currently, the RFAF Central Group is trying to encircle the Pokrovsk-Mirnograd stronghold from both flanks. And more effectively from the east, where the Russian army has almost reached the rear, cutting off the supply line of the Ukrainian garrison. (photo source Rybar. Liveuamap. Kyiv Independent).

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