Brazil vs Japan: A testament to their class.

Although the Japanese team has improved rapidly in recent years, Brazil has still shown its superiority in direct confrontations.

Báo Xây dựng•29/06/2026

Finishing second in Group F of the 2026 World Cup means Japan will face a strong opponent in Brazil in the Round of 16.

Brazil vs Japan: The — Japan came from behind to defeat Brazil in their most recent encounter.

This team has the most tradition in this competition, having lifted the World Cup trophy five times. In addition, they have finished as runners-up twice, third twice, and fourth twice at the biggest football event on the planet.

Meanwhile, Japan's best World Cup achievement was reaching the round of 16. This shows that there is a huge difference in experience between the two teams in this competition.

Prior to the 2026 World Cup, Brazil and Japan had met 14 times at the national team level. In this series of matches, the South American team showed superiority over their opponent with 11 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat.

The two teams first met in 1989 in a friendly match. Brazil won that game with a narrow 1-0 victory thanks to a goal from Bismarck, a player who had previously played in Japan.

Since then, Brazil has shown dominance with a series of large-margin victories, such as the 5-1 win in 1995. Conversely, Japan has also steadily improved and has often posed difficulties for the yellow and green team.

In their most recent encounter in October 2025, the top-ranked team in Asia caused a shock by coming from behind to defeat Brazil 3-2. This was also their first victory against Brazil.

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This victory will undoubtedly give Japan more confidence as they head into their Round of 16 match against Brazil at the 2026 World Cup.

Furthermore, Japan received another piece of good news as Neymar's participation is uncertain due to health issues. In their five previous encounters, the star player has scored nine goals against the "Samurai Blue" and provided three assists.

Neymar plays with great unpredictability and often doesn't follow the coach's pre-planned tactics. Therefore, disciplined defenses like Japan's are very afraid to face players with such a style.

After the draw for the Round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup was determined, data from many well-known statistical websites such as Opta and Sports Mole still heavily favored Brazil.

Specifically, according to data up to June 28th, Opta's supercomputer estimated that Brazil had approximately a 62% chance of winning the match within 90 minutes. The corresponding figure for Japan was only around 16%.

Sports Mole's supercomputer also estimated Japan's chances of winning the match in 90 minutes at 18%, while Brazil's were 58%.

But as kick-off approached, both statistical websites changed their predictions and narrowed the gap between the two teams.

Specifically, according to Opta, Japan's win rate increased to 19.7% and Brazil's decreased to 57.3%. Meanwhile, Sports Mole raised the Asian representative's win rate to 30.25% and lowered Brazil's to 42.1%.

However, most fans and football experts also rate Brazil higher in this match. In particular, coach Mano Polking predicts the Selecao will win 2-1 against Japan.

But the head coach of the Japanese national team believes his players are capable of defeating Brazil. Coach Moriyasu said: “I think the chances are 50-50. In our last encounter with Brazil, we showed our qualities and proved that they are a competitive team. We have great respect for Brazil, understand their strength, but are also confident that Japan has a real chance of winning.”

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