The genius striker Harry Kane

Despite scoring two goals, Harry Kane's expected goals (xG) for the entire match was only 0.5. For comparison, the entire Democratic Republic of Congo team had an xG of 0.91 but only scored one goal.

Harry Kane 's shot had a less than 10% chance of scoring. Photo: Reuters .

On the night of July 1st, Harry Kane completed a brace against the Democratic Republic of Congo, helping England come from behind to win 2-1 in their Round of 32 match at the 2026 World Cup .

According to the statistics website The xG Philosophy, Harry Kane's expected goals (xG) for the entire match was only 0.5 goals. For comparison, the entire Democratic Republic of Congo team had an xG of 0.91 but only scored one goal.

More specifically, according to SofaScore , Kane's second goal had an incredible xG of 0.05, with his right-footed shot traveling at 94 km/h and nestling into the top corner of the net while facing away from the goal.

xG is one of the most important metrics in football over the past decade. Opta , the company that first introduced this metric, uses its Qwinn AI system to analyze over 2.5 million shots from 66,000 players in the past to determine the xG of each specific shot, based on a range of parameters and situational data.

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The calculated metrics don't take into account who takes the shot. A situation with an xG (xieties) of 0.5 means that in 50% of similar situations, the player will score. Therefore, simply put, with Kane's goal, 100 similar shots might never result in a goal.

Opta stipulates that penalty kicks have an xG (xieties) of 0.79, meaning that out of 100 attempts, 79 will result in a goal. According to Stats Perform, the xG index has changed significantly since 2022, based on new factors and neural network calculations.

In other words, if it had been a different player, perhaps two shots like the one the England striker took would not have resulted in a goal.

The Bayern Munich striker also became the first English player to score two goals in a World Cup knockout match since Gary Lineker's feat in 1990, thus extending his personal record at this year's World Cup.

The victory in Atlanta marked the first time since the 1966 final that the Three Lions had won a World Cup match after falling behind.

This result ended a run of 13 consecutive matches without a win when the "Three Lions" conceded the first goal, and also erased a streak of 9 matches where they drew or lost after being behind after the first half.

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Source: https://znews.vn/chan-sut-thien-tai-harry-kane-post1665365.html