It was incredibly difficult for the US and Iran to reach an agreement, with the first clause stipulating that both sides and their allies must immediately and permanently cease hostilities on all fronts, including Lebanon. However, before the ink was even dry on the signed document, conflict erupted again. It's unclear who initiated the aggression between Israel and the Iranian-backed Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon, but the reality is that the path to peace in the Middle East has never been easy.
When launching the war, the US estimated that Iran would only hold out for 4-6 weeks before having to back down and accept a compromise. Furthermore, Washington confidently believed that the Iranian people would soon revolt and overthrow the Tehran regime. However, after four months, despite suffering heavy losses, Iran remained strong. Moreover, Iran's retaliatory attacks on US military bases and facilities across the Middle East left Washington perplexed.
In particular, Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a sea route that ensures up to 20% of the world's oil needs, caused oil prices to fluctuate wildly and global financial markets to reel. Gasoline prices in the US surged to their highest level in nearly two years, wiping out President Donald Trump's energy policy gains and eroding the Republican Party's advantage at a sensitive time, with the midterm elections approaching.
Against this backdrop, the memorandum signed with Iran opens an opportunity for the US to withdraw from the conflict that is dividing American politics. However, its ally Israel is not very enthusiastic about the agreement between the US and Iran. Although they once coordinated closely in military operations against Iran, over time, the strategic interests of the two sides have gradually diverged. For Donald Trump, the current priority is to quickly stabilize the situation in the region, restore maritime activity in the Strait of Hormuz, reduce pressure on energy markets, and avoid a prolonged war ahead of the midterm elections in November.
Meanwhile, the Israeli government under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pursued a broader goal: to use the attack to exert maximum pressure on Tehran, not only to neutralize Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, but also to weaken the capabilities of its allies, thereby fundamentally altering the regional balance of power. This difference is most evident in Lebanon, where Israel wants to maintain freedom of military action against Hezbollah, while the US considers ending the conflict in Lebanon a necessary condition for the success of an agreement with Iran.
Tel Aviv was also unhappy that, as a belligerent party, it was not included in the negotiations with Iran, nor was it a signatory to the agreement. Netanyahu repeatedly emphasized that this was an agreement between the US and Iran. He even publicly reacted to Donald Trump, stating: “This is an agreement made by the US and led by the US President. He believes he can both reopen the Strait of Hormuz and resolve the nuclear issue. That is his decision.”
Within Israeli politics, many right-wing politicians openly opposed the US-Iran agreement with harsh criticism. Itamar's National Security Minister Ben-Gvir declared that Donald Trump's agreement was not binding on Israel, while Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich called it a bad deal for Israel and the entire free world. According to Western media reports, Israel is conducting "very tough" negotiations with the US regarding the maintenance of its military presence in Lebanon and has no intention of making concessions.
Therefore, the Hezbollah issue in southern Lebanon has now become a sticking point preventing negotiations on final agreements between the US and Iran. Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly stated that the Israeli military will continue to maintain a security buffer zone in southern Lebanon for as long as necessary for national security. Tehran, however, argues that full implementation of the agreement means Israel must completely withdraw its forces from Lebanese territory. The Iranian Foreign Ministry has warned that the continued Israeli military presence in southern Lebanon could invalidate the memorandum between Washington and Tehran.
The next 60 days of negotiations between Washington and Tehran to reach a final agreement to completely end the conflict will test America's relationship with its unruly ally, Israel.
Source: https://cuuchienbinh.vn/dong-minh-kho-bao-d43573.html
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