Export rice prices are rising.

Domestic rice prices remained mostly stable last week, with no major fluctuations. However, export rice prices increased due to signs of warming demand in some markets.

Báo Tin Tức•21/12/2025

Photo caption — Rice warehouse at Hoang Gia Nhat Quang Co., Ltd. preparing for export. (Illustrative photo: Thanh Binh/TTXVN)

Regarding exports, the price of 5% broken rice increased to 370-375 USD/ton, up 5 USD/ton; fragrant 5% broken rice remained at 435-460 USD/ton. According to a trader in Ho Chi Minh City, demand from markets such as China, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and Africa is showing signs of increasing. Vietnamese rice prices are currently more competitive than Thai rice.

According to statistics from the Customs Department, Vietnam's cumulative rice exports up to December 15th reached 7.671 million tons, valued at 3.923 billion USD.

In the domestic market, according to the Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Strategy and Policy, in Can Tho, Jasmine rice remains priced at 8,400 VND/kg, the same as last week; IR 5451 rice is 6,200 VND/kg; ST25 is 9,400 VND/kg; and OM 18 is 6,600 VND/kg.

In Dong Thap , IR 50404 rice is priced at 6,800 VND/kg; OM 18 remains at 6,900 VND/kg. In Vinh Long, OM 5451 rice is priced at 6,500 VND/kg and OM 4900 at 7,200 VND/kg, both increasing by 200 VND/kg.

In An Giang , the prices of most fresh rice varieties remained stable compared to last week: OM 18 at 6,400 - 6,600 VND/kg; Dai Thom 8 at 6,400 - 6,600 VND/kg; OM 5451 at 5,400 - 5,600 VND/kg; and IR 50404 at 5,200 - 5,400 VND/kg, an increase of 100 VND/kg.

As of December 5th, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment , for the 2025 Autumn-Winter crop season, the entire Mekong Delta region has planted 638,000 hectares; of which 498,000 hectares have been harvested with an average yield of 57.77 quintals/hectare, with an estimated production of 2.86 million tons. For the Summer crop season, localities have sown 175,000 hectares and begun harvesting approximately 35,000 hectares.

For the 2025-2026 Winter-Spring crop season alone, the entire region has planted 362,000 hectares, equivalent to 28.6% of the total planned 1.266 million hectares.

In the An Giang retail market, rice prices remain stable: regular rice 11,500 - 12,000 VND/kg; Thai fragrant rice 20,000 - 22,000 VND/kg; Jasmine rice 16,000 - 18,000 VND/kg; white rice 16,000 VND/kg, Nang Hoa rice 21,000 VND/kg, Huong Lai rice 22,000 VND/kg, Taiwanese fragrant rice 20,000 VND/kg, regular Soc rice 17,000 VND/kg, Thai Soc rice 20,000 VND/kg, Japanese rice 22,000 VND/kg.

The price of IR 50404 raw rice remains at 7,550 - 7,650 VND/kg, while finished IR 504 rice is priced at 9,500 - 9,700 VND/kg; OM 380 raw rice is priced at 7,200 - 7,300 VND/kg; finished OM 380 rice fluctuates between 8,800 - 9,000 VND/kg.

Regarding by-products, the prices of various by-products range from 7,500 to 10,000 VND/kg; the price of dry bran is 9,000 to 10,000 VND/kg.

Similar to Vietnam, Thai rice prices continued to surge last week, with 5% broken rice being offered at $415 per ton, up $15 from the previous week and the highest price since May 8th. A Bangkok trader said prices were strongly supported after China confirmed it would buy 500,000 tons of Thai rice in mid-November.

In India, rice prices also edged up slightly due to increased demand amid lower prices. 5% broken parboiled rice was quoted at $348-$356 per ton, a slight increase from last week's $347-$354 per ton. 5% broken white rice remained stable at $345-$350 per ton. The Indian rupee hitting a record low against the US dollar also boosted profits for exporters.

Regarding the grain market, the Chicago grain market experienced strong selling pressure last week, particularly for wheat and soybeans.

At the close of trading on Friday, December 19th, wheat futures rose slightly by 2 cents to $5.0975 per bushel. Soybean futures fell 3 cents to $10.4925 per bushel, marking the sixth consecutive day of declines. Corn futures also fell 0.75 cents to close at $4.4375 per bushel (1 bushel of corn = 25.4 kg; 1 bushel of wheat or soybeans = 27.2 kg).

Overall for the week, wheat futures recorded their sharpest weekly decline since June, while soybean prices fell to their lowest level since October 24th.

According to Randy Place, an analyst at commodity market research firm Hightower Report, the fundamental outlook for the wheat market is currently quite negative due to an oversupply of global goods. Large harvests in Argentina and Australia are continuously adding to the supply, while Russia forecasts a bumper crop of up to 90 million tons next year.

For soybeans, the market is under pressure from large supply and doubts about actual demand from China. Although the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) confirmed that China has purchased an additional 134,000 tons of US soybeans, the market remains concerned about whether China will meet its target of 12 million tons, especially as Brazil is about to enter what is predicted to be a bumper harvest.

The coffee market ended the week with Arabica coffee prices on the ICE New York exchange continuing to fall, while Robusta prices on the London exchange saw a slight technical rebound. Specifically, the price of Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 continued to decline by 4.45 cents/lb (equivalent to a 1.29% decrease), reaching its lowest level in the past four months.

Conversely, on the London exchange, the price of Robusta coffee futures for January 2026 increased by $4/ton (equivalent to 0.11%). However, this increase is insignificant compared to the prolonged price decline over the past two weeks, indicating that market sentiment remains very weak.

The domestic coffee market experienced a series of "shocking" price drops last week (December 15-20). After starting the week on a relatively optimistic note, the market quickly came under strong selling pressure. Particularly on December 18, domestic coffee prices fell by nearly 4,000 VND/kg, officially losing the support level of 90,000 VND/kg.

By the end of the week, prices had fallen sharply to around 89,300 VND/kg. Specifically, prices in Dak Lak and Dak Nong fluctuated around 89,300 - 89,500 VND/kg, while in Lam Dong, prices dropped to 88,500 VND/kg.