According to the results of public opinion polls over a long period of time, the Conservative Party of the current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will be disadvantaged and the British Labour Party has a chance to win. The lingering consequences of Brexit play a decisive role in the direction of this political development in the UK.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak
The main reason is that neither the Brexit process nor its impact on the future of Britain after Brexit has lived up to the Conservative prime ministers’ assurances and promises to the people. After four years, the price that Britain has paid for Brexit has proven too high for the British people and the Conservative Party.
The UK's current economic situation, four years after Brexit, is significantly worse than when the UK was a member of the EU. With Brexit, the UK no longer participates in the EU's Common Internal Market and Customs Union, and after four years the UK still has no economic and trade partner to replace the EU, nor a market to replace the EU market.
The British government's plans when calculating and deciding to take the UK out of the EU and signing bilateral economic and trade cooperation agreements with major economies in the world such as the US or Canada have not yet come true.
The Brexit process has set a record when it has "cost" the most prime ministers in a short time, including David Cameron, Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Liz Truss and now the current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (all Conservatives) are also at risk. Brexit could even pave the way for the UK Labour Party to return to power and push the UK Conservative Party into opposition.
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