New consequences of old conflicts

In recent days, intense military fighting has erupted again between Pakistan and the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. The conflict between the two sides is not new in nature, as it is still the result of the convergence of four bilateral issues.

Afghan Taliban fighters

Photo: Reuters

These four issues are: Pakistan's accusation that the Taliban regime in Afghanistan is condoning terrorist activities by the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in Pakistan; disagreements over the current border; the Taliban regime in Afghanistan's frustration with Pakistan leading them to move closer to India; and internal pressures on both sides.

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The current circumstances and timing have led to new repercussions for the conflict. First, there is the deadlock in negotiations between Pakistan and the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. Two points are noteworthy here. Firstly, after several rounds of negotiations mediated by China and Turkey, Pakistan and the Taliban regime in Afghanistan have made almost no significant progress. This indicates that neither side has sufficient goodwill to negotiate and has not built enough trust for the peace process to yield positive results.

Secondly, neither China nor Türkiye has been successful in acting as diplomatic mediators between Pakistan and the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. This means that other external partners now have the opportunity to build on this role.

The new situation will present both sides with more mediation options, while competition among external partners will intensify. The renewed conflict negatively impacts Pakistan's role in peace talks between the US and Iran, thus benefiting the Taliban regime in Afghanistan. Given these anticipated new consequences, this old conflict could potentially trigger further clashes.

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Source: https://thanhnien.vn/he-luy-moi-cua-xung-khac-cu-185260611225653377.htm