Programmers will be surpassed by AI this year.

Based on what they have witnessed, AI experts believe that the automation of most fields by machines will happen sooner than predicted.

Kevin Weil, Chief Product Officer at OpenAI, recently shared his perspective. Photo: Techcrunch .

Kevin Weil, Chief Product Officer of OpenAI, believes that by the end of this year, AI will surpass human programmers, marking a historic moment in the technology industry.

In January, Dario Amodel, CEO of the AI ​​company Anthropic, predicted that by 2027, AI would surpass humans in most areas. In an interview with two YouTubers from the Overpowered channel on March 16th, Kevin Weil appeared to agree with that view.

He even confidently stated that, given the current pace of AI development, this could happen sooner than expected. Using examples from OpenAI's already launched models, he explained the remarkable progress of artificial intelligence.

With GPT-o1, Weil shared that from its early days, this technology had the potential to reach the skill level of 2-3% of the 30-40 million programmers worldwide .

GPT-o3, the soon-to-be-officially-released version, is currently among the top 175 most successful programmers. And as its successors begin training, they have already shown even greater capabilities.

Weil believes that by 2025, according to competitive indicators, AI will completely surpass humans in the field of programming. He compares this to how computers surpassed humans in computation 70 years ago, or how AI beat humans in chess 25 years ago.

"This is the year that AI will surpass humans in programming forever... and there's no turning back," Weil told the two presenters.

Although AI is expected to lead in programming, the director of OpenAI does not completely rule out the importance of humans. On the contrary, intelligence and insightful guidance remain essential.

"Understanding which problems need solving, where to focus the work, and identifying strengths—those things will still be important," he said.

AI will handle the heavy lifting. Meanwhile, humans will also need to hone the necessary skills to solve larger problems and manage the tasks analyzed by AI. This could create a world where everyone can participate in software development, without needing to be a programming expert.

Ultimately, Weil predicts that we will use AI daily to optimize our work. Humans will then become managers of these "AI employees," with the tools performing basic tasks for them.