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AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction - Serie A

AC Milan have a chance to consolidate their position in the top 3 of Serie A when they host Cagliari at home, especially considering the visitors are suffering from serious squad losses.

Báo Nghệ AnBáo Nghệ An24/05/2026

The match between AC Milan and Cagliari will take place at 1:45 AM on May 25, 2026, at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. This is a crucial moment for AC Milan to protect their advantage in the race for the top three, while Cagliari is still striving to move away from the relegation zone at the bottom of the table.

1:45 AM on May 25th - The decisive match at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan currently maintains a strong position in the top group with 70 points after 37 matches played. Conversely, Cagliari is in 16th place with 40 points, only a not-so-safe distance from the relegation zone. The 30-point gap between the two teams clearly reflects the difference in skill and form this season.

Current league position and form

Team Location Point Form in the last 5 matches
AC Milan 3 70 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Cagliari 16 40 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

This season, AC Milan has shown considerable strength at home with 9 wins. The Milanese team's scoring performance averages 1.4 goals per game, while their defense has conceded only 0.9 goals per game. On the other hand, Cagliari has only managed 3 away wins throughout the season, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.

Head-to-head history and in-depth statistics

The head-to-head history heavily favors the home team at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. In the last five encounters, AC Milan have won three times and drawn twice. Notably, matches played at Milan's home ground often have large margins, such as the 5-1 victory in May 2024.

  • January 3, 2026: Cagliari 0 - 1 AC Milan
  • January 12, 2025: AC Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari
  • November 10, 2024: Cagliari 3 - 3 AC Milan
  • May 12, 2024: AC Milan 5 - 1 Cagliari
  • January 3, 2024: AC Milan 4 - 1 Cagliari

Team news: Cagliari is facing a personnel crisis.

While AC Milan entered the match with a stable squad and no significant injury concerns, Cagliari was facing a difficult personnel situation. The visitors would be missing several key players due to knee injuries and muscle problems.

Cagliari's injury list:

  • M. Felici: Knee injury (Absent)
  • R. Idrissi: Knee injury (Absent)
  • J. Liteta: Thigh injury (Availability uncertain)
  • L. Mazzitelli: Calf injury (Availability uncertain)
  • L. Pavoletti: Knee injury (Availability uncertain)

Tactical analysis and predictions

With the home advantage and a higher-quality squad, AC Milan is predicted to take control of the game from the start. Their chances of winning or at least drawing are estimated at 90% (45% win, 45% draw). Meanwhile, Cagliari's chances of causing an upset are only 10%.

Milan's attack is predicted to score under 2.5 goals, while Cagliari is unlikely to score more than one goal. A favorable result for AC Milan is the most likely scenario in this match.

Source: https://baonghean.vn/nhan-dinh-ac-milan-vs-cagliari-serie-a-10338056.html


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