On the afternoon of March 21, the General Department of Hydro-Meteorology (Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment) held a conference to summarize the work of forecasting and warning of hydro-meteorological disasters in 3 and identify natural disaster trends in 2023.
Here, Mr. Hoang Duc Cuong, Deputy Director General, assessed that in 2023, our country's weather and climate will be strongly affected by the El Nino phenomenon and climate change. The year 2023 is recorded as the year with the highest temperature globally and is the second year in the series of monitoring data in Vietnam. The highest temperature ever appeared with a value of 44,2 degrees in the North Central region.
According to Mr. Cuong, since the beginning of 2024, complex and unusual natural disasters have appeared such as a severe and widespread cold spell lasting from February to March, with low temperatures in the Northern Delta below 2 degrees and mountainous areas below 3 degrees; Hot weather appears for a long time in the Southern region, saline intrusion increases in the Mekong Delta, greatly affecting people's livelihood and agricultural production.
Reporting at the conference, Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting, also said that in 2023, the number of active storms will be the least compared to the average of many years; No storm has hit our country's mainland. This is also the year when up to 20 heat waves appeared, 5 more than the average of many years...
Forecasting this summer, Mr. Lam informed that heat will appear earlier, the number of hot days is likely to be higher and the level will be more intense than the average in many years. In the Northwest, peak heat falls in May-June; while the Northeast, Thanh Hoa and Thua Thien Hue in June-July; Da Nang - Khanh Hoa peaks in July and the South peaks in March-April.
Regarding the development of this year's rainy and storm season, the leader of the meteorological agency said that the rainy season in the North is forecast to take place according to the rules around May-August.
The East Sea is likely to experience 11-13 storms and tropical depressions, approximately the average for many years. Most likely, this pattern will concentrate in the second half of the season in the Central region.
This forecast is also consistent with the assessment that heavy rain is likely to occur in the last months of the year in the Central region, concentrated from September to November 9.
Meanwhile, the Central Highlands and the South are likely to start the rainy season late. In June alone, the southwest monsoon tends to be stronger than the average for many years, causing increased rain in these two areas.
In addition, the 2024 flood season is unlikely to come early on rivers and streams in the North. Water resources may be 30-50% short on Da River, 40-50% on Thao River, Lo River, Red River...
Experts also warn that from now until the end of the 2024 drought and salinity season, the Mekong Delta will be affected by four waves of increased saltwater intrusion (March 4-23, April 28-3, April 8). -April 14, May 4-23), in which the highest intrusion was in the period April 28-4.
Concluding the conference, Mr. Hoang Duc Cuong emphasized that 2024 will continue to be a year when many extreme and unusual weather phenomena are forecast to occur. Therefore, the entire industry needs to closely monitor, warn and promptly forecast dangerous weather, hydrological and oceanographic phenomena nationwide and provide timely and complete newsletters.
At the same time, strengthen information, propaganda, and dissemination of knowledge about hydrometeorology, especially dangerous hydrometeorological phenomena, contributing to raising community awareness of the importance of hydrometeorology. natural disaster prevention work.
