Coffee prices today, May 21st: Reversed downward trend, robusta hits a 1-month low.

Coffee prices fell across the board on Wednesday, with robusta dropping to its lowest level in a month. Improved prospects for the Brazilian coffee crop are putting downward pressure on prices.

On the London exchange, robusta coffee futures for May 2026 delivery fell by $85 (-2.36%) to $3,510 per ton. The July 2026 contract decreased by $17 per ton (-0.51%) to $3,328 per ton; meanwhile, the September 2026 contract saw a slight increase of $6 per ton (+0.19%) to $3,214 per ton. Prices for other contracts also increased slightly by $4-8 per ton.

On the New York exchange, the price of Arabica coffee for July 2026 delivery fell by 1.85 US cents/pound (-0.68%) to 268.3 US cents/pound. The price for September 2026 delivery decreased by 1.65 US cents/pound (-0.63%) to 260.5 US cents/pound; the December 2026 contract fell by 1.75 US cents/pound (-0.69%) to 252.9 US cents/pound. Prices for other contracts also decreased by 1.7 cents/pound.

According to Barchart , coffee prices fell across the board on Wednesday, with robusta dropping to its lowest level in a month as better prospects for the Brazilian coffee crop put downward pressure on prices.

Coffee prices have been steadily declining over the past month, with arabica falling to its lowest level in a year and a half for the nearest contract on Tuesday, due to improved global supply prospects.

Although Therefore, ICE coffee inventories are trending downwards over the next two years. over the past month, thereby supporting coffee prices.

ICE robusta inventories fell to a two-year low of 3,631 lots last Friday, although they recovered to a two-and-a-half-week high of 3,845 lots on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, ICE arabica inventories fell to a 2.75-month low of 456,462 bags on Wednesday.

In In another development, according to the International Coffee Organization (ICO) Coffee Market Report released on Tuesday, coffee prices fell to their lowest level in 19 months in April. The average monthly price of the ICO Composite Price Index (I-CIP) dropped to 266.24 US cents/pound in April, down 2.7% from March 2026 and more than one-fifth (-20.7%) lower than April 2025.

The sharpest decline was seen in the robusta index, which fell 7.1% compared to the previous month and reached its lowest level since February 2024.

The declines in arabica indices were more moderate - Colombian Milds, Other Milds and Brazilian Naturals fell by 0.9%, 0.8% and 1.9%, respectively.

The New York and London indices (average price of second and third position contracts) fell 1.9% and 7.2%, respectively.

Price volatility remains high, at around 9%.

According to the ICO, "the market appears to be weighing between two options." Opposing factors: the closure of the Strait of Hormuz from March 4th, which caused crude oil prices to rise by 55.8% and shipping costs by 43.6% between February 27th and April 30th, and the outlook for global supply continues to improve.”

"Overall, the second factor This seems to be overshadowing the first factor. This shift in perspective may reflect the market having already somewhat priced in the conflict, while information related to supply and demand continues to change.”

Meanwhile, global exports of all forms of coffee increased by 1.6% to 13.59 million bags in March 2026, compared with 13.37 million bags in March 2025.

However, this increase was entirely driven by robusta exports, which rose 21.3% to 6.636 million bags, while arabica exports fell to 6.953 million bags (-12.0%).

The declines were particularly sharp in the Brazilian Naturals and Colombian Milds groups, falling by 15.7% and 26.0% respectively, while the Other Milds group saw only a slight decrease of 0.5%.

In the first six months of the current coffee crop year (October-March), global exports of all forms of coffee increased by 3.3%, reaching 70.911 million bags.

Arabica exports fell 4.8% to 40.257 million bags due to sharp declines in exports of Brazilian Naturals (-13.3%) and Colombian Milds (-14.8%), while Other Milds continued to increase by 20.9%.

Conversely, robusta exports recovered strongly, increasing by 16.2% to 30.655 million bags.

Quang Trung

Source: https://baoninhbinh.org.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-215-dao-chieu-giam-robusta-cham-day-1-thang-260521053447421.html