European intelligence: Russia is running out of time to win.

Within the next four or five months, Putin “may no longer be able to negotiate from a position of strength,” Kaupo Rosin, head of Estonia’s Foreign Intelligence Service, said in an interview at the agency’s headquarters in Tallinn.

Rosin detailed the combination of economic, military , and social pressures that President Putin is facing, pressures that could force him to the negotiating table. He said, "Time is no longer on Russia's side."

CNN reported that Estonia, a former Soviet republic, is now a NATO intelligence gathering station, and Rosin spends much of his time analyzing events inside Russia.

"I no longer hear any talk of complete victory. Everyone (in the Kremlin) realizes that the situation on the Ukrainian battlefield is not very promising," Rosin said, adding that Moscow is losing more soldiers than it can recruit.

In the two years leading up to January, Russian forces advanced an average of 70 meters per day, with approximately 1,000 soldiers killed or wounded each day, according to analysts from the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and other sources.

Last week, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that Russia "is losing 15,000 to 20,000 soldiers every month, not wounded but killed."

According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense , 35,203 Russian soldiers were killed or seriously wounded in April, a figure similar to the previous two months.

CNN was unable to independently verify the damage figures from either side. Neither Moscow nor Kyiv have released official figures.

Most casualties are caused by drones, an area in which both Ukraine and Russia have invested heavily. Rosin predicts that the shift to drone warfare will limit changes on the front lines.

Currently, neither side is "able to make a large-scale mechanized breakthrough" into areas deep behind enemy lines, he said.

Another fundraising round?

According to Rosin, if Russia wants to resume its campaign and seize the remaining part of the Donbass region in eastern Ukraine, the only option would be "some form of forced military mobilization."

Rosin said, "If Russia can mobilize a few hundred thousand more people to the battlefield, that would be a problem (for Ukraine)." But he added that such a move "would create further risks to internal stability" for the Kremlin.

Rosin said that the cost of the war, international sanctions, and Ukraine's highly successful campaign targeting Russia's vital oil industry are beginning to have negative consequences.

Last week, Russia cut its growth forecast for this year from 1.3% to 0.4%, citing labor shortages, excessive government spending, and Western sanctions.

According to Rosin, Ukraine has inflicted "billions of dollars in damage to the energy sector" – as Kyiv's growing arsenal of long-range drones targets oil refineries, export centers, and pipelines located hundreds of miles deep inside Russian territory.

Source: https://danviet.vn/tinh-bao-chau-au-nga-dang-can-kiet-thoi-gian-de-gianh-chien-thang-d1429158.html