Russia is forcing Ukraine to stretch itself thin on two fronts.

According to Russian political scientist Yuriy Baranchyk, the main question of the Russian Armed Forces' summer offensive is whether the offensive will be limited to the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk region (Donetsk region) or whether a large-scale operation will be launched simultaneously in the Zaporizhia region.

According to this expert, the fighting around Sloviansk and Kramatorsk is a battle for control of the entire Donbass region. If Russian forces advance close to these strongholds and maintain control, Ukraine's logistical supply routes will be under serious pressure.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are currently facing numerous challenges regarding troop rotation, ammunition transport, and maintaining a front line stretching over 1,000km from north to south and along the Black Sea coast.

Expert Baranchyk added that if the main offensive focuses on Donetsk, the Russian Army could try to gradually destroy the Ukrainian Armed Forces' defenses around Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, cutting off communications and forcing Ukrainian forces to withdraw from their prepared positions.

This scenario aligns with current operational logic: Russian forces will gradually weaken the enemy's defenses and create a siege threat in a fierce, cauldron-like situation.

Political scientists argue that if the Zaporizhzhia front is also launched, the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces will become significantly more difficult, as the Ukrainian military command will have to allocate its limited reserves to many key areas on the front.

This would create the risk of shortages of manpower, equipment, and ammunition in many areas simultaneously, creating even more gaps in the Ukrainian Army's defense system.

In summary, the Russian expert noted, the Russian Armed Forces' offensive in the Zaporizhzhia region could pursue several objectives simultaneously: diverting Ukrainian reserve forces from the Donbass region, threatening the logistics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the south, and expanding control along the right bank of the Dnieper River.

Yuri Baranchik concluded that even if the Russian forces did not intend to mobilize large numbers of troops to create a rapid breakthrough in the Zaporizhzhia region, having to hold another large section of the front would further complicate the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to Topcor.ru

Source: https://giaoducthoidai.vn/nga-buoc-ukraine-phai-cang-minh-บน-2-mat-tran-post778951.html