The Russian army is employing troop movements and diversionary tactics to draw Ukrainian forces away from the main battlefields, in preparation for an offensive this coming summer.
Báo Khoa học và Đời sống•30/05/2025
Observing recent movements of the Russian Armed Forces (RFAF), it appears they have employed a deceptive tactic of "deception and reality," meaning they are encircling key enemy positions without attacking, isolating the enemy without encircling them. The core of this tactic is to use overwhelming force to wear down the enemy, but without launching a devastating attack, leaving them with glimmer of hope. This allows the enemy to continue reinforcing their troops and weapons, instead of fleeing in haste.
Throughout the campaign, the Russian forces continuously employed deceptive tactics, like fishing, to lure the enemy. They combined encirclement and division with psychological warfare. This led the Ukrainian forces to make strategic misjudgments, creating opportunities for the RFAF to deliver the final blow. We can see that President Putin announced the establishment of a 25-kilometer-wide strategic buffer zone in the Sumy province. Later, Putin gave another speech, announcing the establishment of a larger security buffer zone in the north, encompassing the Kharkiv, Chernihiv, and Sumy provinces. Later, Russia reported that 50,000 mobile Russian troops had massed in the northern Kharkiv region, preparing to launch a larger-scale offensive. After a while, Russia mobilized troops in the Leningrad and Eastern Military Districts, preparing to advance into Sumy Oblast and launch a summer offensive. However, all of this may have been a smokescreen, a ploy to deceive the enemy. Russia doesn't need to publicly announce every move to the world , but Moscow's actions indicate a desire to withdraw all of Ukraine's main forces from the Donbass region to the north.
Sumy Province is located right next to Kyiv Province (the capital Kyiv is in Kyiv Province). Currently, the RFAF has deployed the 18th Motorized Infantry Division and the 72nd Motorized Infantry Division to the border of Sumy Province; this action has forced the AFU General Staff to deploy mobile reserves into Sumy Province to establish a defensive line.
Because the Sumy province is a gateway to Kyiv and its strategic importance is far greater than that of the villages surrounding Pokrovsk on the Donbass front, when the AFU significantly increases its troop numbers in Kharkiv and Sumy, a large gap will appear in the Donbass region, where troop numbers will decrease. If the AFU insists on not sending reinforcements to Sumy and Kursk, then the RFAF could open a front in Sumy and Kharkiv. With Kyiv province under direct threat from its flank, President Zelensky and Ukrainian headquarters may be in a state of panic. During the Kursk defense operation, the RFAF deployed a large number of airborne assault troops and elite marines to the Kursk front. These included the 40th and 155th Marine Brigades of the Pacific Fleet, the 810th Marine Brigade of the Black Sea Fleet, and the 11th and 83rd Airborne Assault Brigades. In addition, the RFAF deployed the 2nd Special Forces Brigade of the General Staff's Operations Directorate and other special forces, all of whom were present on the Kursk front. But what about now? They've all disappeared and are now hiding in the direction of the actual main attack. Currently, the Russian military may also be about to mobilize the entire Ukrainian army into combat. This summer's offensive by the RFAF will be on an unprecedented scale. The new Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Armed Forces, General Mordvichev, will command the two main combat groups: Donbass and Kursk.
The commander-in-chief of the Russian army's Donbass front has been replaced by General Valery Solodchuk, commander of the Kursk front. He is considered to be just as capable as General Mordvichev, who was recently appointed Commander of the Ground Forces by President Putin. Regarding Valery Solodchuk's resume, it is asserted that he is a "military general," having held positions such as commander of the RFAF's 7th Airborne Division, commander of pro-Russian armed forces in Donbass, deputy commander of the 5th Army of the Eastern Military District; commander of the 36th Army of the Eastern Military District, deputy commander of the Central Military District, and currently commander of the RFAF's Central Army Group. Currently, the RFAF's most elite units are concentrated in the Donbass region, waiting to lure the main forces of the Ukrainian army to the Sumy and Kharkiv provinces. At that point, the summer operation will begin.
The RFAF now wants to push the entire front line to its limit, forcing the AFU to lose its overall line of sight. To reinforce Sumy province, the Russian army will have the opportunity to attack Kostiantynivka. As the AFU reinforces Kostiantynivka, the RFAF will attack Seversk... It can be asserted that, at present, the RFAF has gained an advantage in offensive positions. Now, everything depends on whether the Ukrainian army can withstand the fierce offensive by the Russian army in this summer's campaign. (Image source: Sina, Ukrinform, Sputnik).
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