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Coffee price forecast for tomorrow, August 3, 2025: Risk of "breaking through" a new bottom?

Coffee prices on August 3, 2025 are at risk of continuing to decline due to pressure from abundant supply and pessimism. Arabica fluctuates strongly, with the possibility of recovery thanks to Brazil's tax.

Báo Đà NẵngBáo Đà Nẵng02/08/2025

Coffee price forecast tomorrow 3 8 2025 Risk of breaking through new bottom

See more details on today's coffee prices

Update coffee prices today 8/2/2025

Domestic coffee prices on August 2, 2025 started the week with a new increase, with a decrease of 400 to 600 VND/kg. Bringing the current coffee price down to about 99,200 - 99,500 VND/kg.

Province/City Coffee price today (VND/kg) Change from yesterday (VND)
Dak Lak 99,500 -500
Lam Dong 99,200 -600
Gia Lai 99,400 -400
Dak Nong (now Lam Dong) 99,500 -500

In Dak Lak, today's coffee price is 99,500 VND/kg, down 500 VND.

In Lam Dong, today's coffee price is 99,200 VND/kg, down 600 VND.

In Gia Lai, today's coffee price is 99,400 VND/kg, down 400 VND.

In Dak Nong (old, now merged into Lam Dong), today's coffee price is 99,500 VND/kg, down 500 VND.

Robusta Coffee Price London August 2, 2025

In the world market, London Robusta coffee on August 2, 2025 at all trading terms decreased sharply.

The nearest September 25 contract fell $71/ton to $3,330/ton, or 2.09%, with the session high at $3,461/ton and the session low at $3,321/ton.

Similarly, the following terms such as 11/25, 01/26, 03/26 and 05/26 all fell sharply from 72 to 78 USD/ton, corresponding to a decrease of 2.16% to 2.39%. The closing prices were 3,259, 3,216, 3,180 and 3,151 USD/ton, respectively. The highest price of the session fluctuated around 3,262 - 3,380 USD/ton.

Arabica coffee price on New York floor on August 2, 2025

In contrast, Arabica coffee prices on the New York floor on August 2, 2025 decreased across all trading terms.

The nearest September 25 contract decreased by 11.60 cents/lb to 284.20 cents/lb, equivalent to 3.92%.

The remaining terms also decreased in price:

December 25 down 11.15 cents/lb (3.86%).

March 26 down 11.00 cents/lb (3.90%).

May 26 down 10.90 cents/lb (3.94%).

July 26 down 10.80 cents/lb (3.98%).

News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow 8/3/2025

Forecast of domestic coffee prices on August 3, 2025

Domestic coffee prices on August 2, 2025 continued to be under strong downward pressure from the world market. The simultaneous decrease of 400 - 600 VND/kg brought the price to a new low, fluctuating around 99,200 - 99,500 VND/kg.

With the international market, especially Robusta prices in London, also on a sharp decline, it is likely that domestic coffee prices will continue their downward trend on August 3, 2025. However, the decrease may not be too large as prices have been at a low level in the short term.

World Coffee Price Forecast August 3, 2025

The prospect of ample supplies from Brazil and Vietnam, coupled with high Robusta inventories on ICE, will continue to exert downward pressure on prices. Hedge funds are also increasing their short positions, indicating bearish sentiment. As a result, Robusta prices are expected to continue their downward trend, with some minor fluctuations.

The Arabica market is more unpredictable. Although prices fell sharply on August 2, 2025, news of the US imposing a 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee could be a surprise factor causing a price recovery. Similar news has sent prices soaring in the past. However, this factor is contradicting the tariff exemption rumors that caused prices to fall earlier.

Low Arabica inventories (5.5-month low) and Volcafe’s forecast of shortages are also supportive factors. Therefore, Arabica prices are likely to see strong volatility on August 3, 2025, with the possibility of a rebound due to supply concerns from Brazil.

General future trends

Overall, the coffee market is in a period of uncertainty. Although global production is forecast to increase to a record level, trade policies and local shortages of Arabica are providing price support. However, with panic selling prevailing and Robusta supplies abundant, the short-term trend remains bearish. The main factors that will impact the market in the coming period are:

Official developments on US import tariffs on coffee from Brazil and other countries.

Production and export reports from major producing countries.

Hedge funds' moves in the futures market.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-3-8-2025-nguy-co-xuyen-thung-day-moi-3298502.html


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