In 2025, the La Nina phenomenon is expected to replace El Nino, bringing colder and drier weather to Brazil’s coffee-growing regions. This increases the risk of frost, which can destroy coffee trees and severely impact expected yields.
Coffee price today 2/10/2025
Last week, the world coffee price, the price of robusta coffee futures for delivery in May 2025 decreased by 130 USD/ton. The price of arabica coffee futures for delivery in May 2025 increased by 25.35 cents/lb.
Domestic coffee prices increased by VND800/kg last week, currently trading in the range of VND128,500 - 129,500/kg.
Arabica coffee prices hit a record high this week after Brazil forecast its coffee production in 2025-26 would fall to a three-year low. Arabica coffee prices have risen for 12 consecutive sessions, marking the longest winning streak since 1980. A stronger Brazilian real has also boosted coffee prices, with a stronger Brazilian currency reducing export sales for Brazilian coffee producers.
Arabica coffee prices rose to a new high while robusta prices remained near record highs on supply concerns after Brazil forecast its coffee output in the 2025-2026 crop year to fall to a three-year low.
The risk of a coffee shortage in Brazil, the world’s largest producer of arabica, continues to worry traders after record exports at the start of the season left the country with less available supplies. Robusta prices, meanwhile, were supported by a continued decline in output. Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development estimates that drought will reduce coffee output in the 2023-2024 crop year by 20% to 1.472 million tonnes, the lowest in four years. Vietnam is the world’s largest producer of robusta.
The coffee market started heating up early last week when Brazil’s Agricultural Supply and Supply Control Agency (Conab) forecast that coffee production in the 2025-2026 crop year would fall 4.4% from the previous crop year, to a three-year low of 51.81 million bags (each bag is equivalent to 60kg). Conab also cut its estimated coffee production in last year’s crop year by 1.1%, to 54.2 million bags.
The rise in the Brazilian real has also boosted coffee prices. The stronger real reduces export sales for Brazilian coffee producers. Brazil is facing its driest weather since 1981, according to the National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (Cemaden).
Global coffee inventories could fall to their second-lowest level in 65 years as supply fails to keep up with demand, Bloomberg warned. The global coffee supply chain has been in a deficit for four straight years, with demand exceeding supply by 15-20 million bags a year, leading to depleted inventories, analysts said.
Domestic coffee prices on February 8 decreased by VND1,000/kg in some key purchasing localities. (Source: Coffeeam) |
According to World & Vietnam , at the end of last week's trading session (February 7), the price of robusta coffee on the ICE Futures Europe London exchange for delivery in March 2025 decreased by 72 USD, trading at 5,561 USD/ton. The delivery in May 2025 decreased by 72 USD, trading at 5,564 USD/ton. The average trading volume was low.
Arabica coffee prices on the ICE Futures US New York exchange, delivery term March 2025 increased by 0.4 cents, trading at 404.35 cents/lb. Meanwhile, delivery term May 2025 decreased by 0.4 cents, trading at 396.70 cents/lb. Trading volume is high.
Domestic coffee prices on February 8 decreased by VND 1,000/kg in some key purchasing localities. Unit: VND/kg
(Source: giacaphe.com) |
Dak Lak province is preparing to organize the 9th Buon Ma Thuot Coffee Festival in 2025 with the theme "Buon Ma Thuot - Destination of world coffee" from March 9 to March 13 in Buon Ma Thuot city and some localities in the province.
Accordingly, the 9th Buon Ma Thuot Coffee Festival in 2025 is a practical activity to celebrate the 50th anniversary of Buon Ma Thuot Victory Day, the liberation of Dak Lak province (March 10, 1975 - March 10, 2025).
This is also an important event, contributing to promoting the Buon Ma Thuot coffee brand, building the image of Buon Ma Thuot city as "The coffee city of the world".
Below is an overview of the activities at the Festival and a full schedule of events:
Coffee price today February 10, 2025: Coffee price sets new peak, 4 consecutive years of shortage, information about Coffee Festival 2025 |
Source: https://baoquocte.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-1022025-gia-ca-phe-xac-lap-dinh-moi-4-nam-thieu-hut-lien-tiep-thong-tin-ve-le-hoi-ca-phe-2025-303746.html
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