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News, forecast of coffee price tomorrow August 1, 2025: Will favorable weather and location surpass the 100,000 VND/kg mark?

Robusta coffee prices skyrocketed due to drought in Vietnam, approaching 100,000 VND/kg. Will it break the peak on August 1, 2025 when Arabica is under downward pressure?

Báo Đà NẵngBáo Đà Nẵng31/07/2025

Coffee price news today 7/31/2025

Update coffee prices today 7/31/2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 31, 2025 started the week with a new increase, with the increase ranging from 500 to 700 VND/kg. Bringing the current coffee price to about 97,300 - 98,000 VND/kg.

Province/City Coffee price today (VND/kg) Change from yesterday (VND)
Dak Lak 99,700 +1,700
Lam Dong 99,500 +2,200
Gia Lai 99,500 +1,700
Dak Nong (now Lam Dong) 99,700 +1,700

In Dak Lak, today's coffee price is 99,700 VND/kg, an increase of 1,700 VND compared to yesterday.

In Lam Dong, today's coffee price is 99,500 VND/kg, an increase of 2,200 VND compared to yesterday.

In Gia Lai, today's coffee price is 99,500 VND/kg, an increase of 1,700 VND compared to yesterday.

In Dak Nong (old, now merged into Lam Dong), today's coffee price is 99,700 VND/kg, an increase of 1,700 VND compared to yesterday.

Robusta Coffee London Price July 31, 2025

On the world market, London Robusta coffee on July 31, 2025 was flooded with green in all trading terms. The latest September 2025 futures contract increased by 66 USD/ton to 3,411 USD/ton, equivalent to an increase of 1.97%.

Similarly, the following terms such as 11/2025, 01/2026, 03/2026 and 05/2026 all increased from 22 to 55 USD/ton, corresponding to an increase of about 0.69% to 1.67%. The highest price of the session fluctuated around 3,199 - 3,345 USD/ton.

Arabica coffee price on New York floor on July 31, 2025

In contrast, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor on July 31, 2025 decreased across all trading terms. The nearest term in September 2025 decreased by 3.10 cents/lb, down to 293.40 cents/lb, equivalent to 1.05%.

The remaining terms also all fell: December 2025 decreased by 2.90 cents/lb (1.00%); March 2026 decreased by 2.90 cents/lb (1.02%); May 2026 decreased by 3.00 cents/lb (1.08%); and July 2026 decreased by 3.00 cents/lb (1.10%).

News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow 1/8/2025

Forecast of domestic coffee prices on August 1, 2025

Domestic coffee prices continued to increase sharply on July 31, approaching the 100,000 VND/kg mark, reflecting the demand for holding goods and active transactions by agents. This is the highest price in recent weeks.

With the recent continuous price increase and forecasts of dry weather in Vietnam continuing to support Robusta prices in the world, domestic coffee prices are likely to maintain their upward momentum or stabilize at a high level by August 1, 2025. However, the pressure on cash flow of exporting enterprises due to the provisional payment of 5% VAT may affect trading sentiment in the short term.

World Coffee Price Forecast August 1, 2025

In the world market, Robusta coffee prices on the London floor increased sharply on July 31, supported by dry weather forecasts in Vietnam. This shows that Robusta can continue to maintain an upward trend or move sideways at a high level on August 1, 2025.

In contrast, Arabica coffee prices on the New York floor continued to fall on July 31, pressured by news of the possibility of the US exempting non-US grown commodities from tariffs. Although there is still much debate about the authenticity of this information, it has created a bearish sentiment in the Arabica market.

In addition, recent rains in Brazil have eased concerns about drought conditions, contributing to downward pressure on Arabica prices. Therefore, Arabica coffee prices may continue their downward trend or stabilize at low levels by August 1, 2025.

General future trends

The general trend of the coffee market in the coming time will be greatly influenced by many factors. Information about the possibility of the US exempting reciprocal tariffs on coffee, if officially confirmed, will have a positive impact on global coffee prices. However, if the tariffs are applied, coffee prices in the US are expected to increase, affecting consumption demand and possibly causing downward pressure on global prices.

On the supply side, global coffee production is forecast to record a surplus in 2025-26 due to improved production in Brazil, Vietnam and Indonesia. In particular, USDA forecasts Brazil’s coffee production in 2025/26 to increase by 0.5% and Vietnam’s coffee production in 2025/26 to increase by 6.9%, reaching a four-year high. Abundant supplies could hinder a long-term market recovery.

Additionally, Robusta inventories monitored by ICE rose to a one-year high, while Arabica inventories fell to a three-and-a-half-month low, highlighting the divergence in supply-demand dynamics between the two coffees.

Overall, the coffee market will continue to be volatile in the short term due to the contrast between the support from dry weather in Vietnam for Robusta and the downward pressure from tariff information and abundant supply for Arabica. In the long term, the prospect of large supplies will likely be the main factor shaping coffee price trends.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/tin-tuc-du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-1-8-2025-thien-thoi-dia-loi-lieu-co-vuot-moc-100-000-dong-kg-3298330.html


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