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Things are even worse than the Pearl Harbor attack for the US.

GD&TĐ - Iran's threat to the US with a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait puts the US in a worse situation than the Pearl Harbor attack, according to RIA.

Báo Giáo dục và Thời đạiBáo Giáo dục và Thời đại03/06/2026

Very close

On May 30, the New York Times reported that the parties were close to reaching an agreement to end the conflict. The conditions were as follows: A ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon, for 60 days; the lifting of Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz; and the gradual lifting of the US blockade.

Along with that is the establishment of an international fund to rebuild Iran. According to the newspaper's sources, the size of this fund is estimated at around $300 billion; releasing at least a portion of Iran's assets. This is equivalent to about $24 billion.

In particular, Iran's nuclear program, a key issue for President Trump, should be included in the next round of negotiations.

Also on May 30, at a meeting in the White House Situation Room, Trump discussed these very points with his aides for two hours, but left the meeting without making any statement.

Subsequent actions by the US showed that Americans were clearly dissatisfied with these conditions.

Last weekend, US forces attacked radar and UAV control centers in the Goruk region and on Qeshm Island. CENTCOM (US Central Command) stated that this was in retaliation for Iranian forces shooting down an MQ-1 UAV.

For its part, Iran claimed responsibility for an attack on a US military facility last week. The target was Ali al-Salem air base in Kuwait, where five soldiers were slightly injured, one MQ-9 Reaper drone was destroyed, and another was damaged.

Against this backdrop, Trump tightened the terms of the framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and sent them to Iran. The specific modifications he made were not disclosed.

"Achieving consensus among top leaders is not easy, so any changes to this document, known as the memorandum of agreement, could lead to further delays," the publication noted.

And the New York Times' suspicions were confirmed. On June 1st, Iran announced it was suspending proxy communications with the U.S. in protest against Israel's actions in Lebanon.

Currently, the Iranian authorities have decided to completely blockade the Strait of Hormuz and "activate other fronts, including the Bab el-Mandeb Strait".

Ambiguous situation

As Alexey Bobrovsky, Director of the World Market Research Institute, noted, this move will have a significant impact on global markets.

"This is a continuation of the trend of consistently and fairly rapidly depleting energy reserves, which is now clearly visible to everyone. The question is no longer whether the U.S. is willing to make concessions to Iran."

The challenge facing President Donald Trump and his team is to withdraw from the conflict without significantly damaging their image. Conversely, Iran wants to consolidate its position as a victor, to demonstrate that it is stronger.

Therefore, they cannot end the war on the terms that, as we see, Mr. Trump is drafting at the last minute. And when the US tries to escalate, Iran will respond accordingly," Bobrovsky said.

This expert points out that the US is in a dilemma.

"Iran understands that the US is under certain tactical time pressure. They want this issue resolved at least before the World Cup, which will be held in North America, and before the 250th anniversary of US Independence Day."

"And surely Trump doesn't want this to drag on into the fall and the midterm elections, no matter how much he claims he's not worried about them," Bobrovsky asserted.

Worse than Pearl Harbor.

A survey by YouGov and The Economist found that 59% of Americans disapprove of the US administration's approach to the Iran crisis.

Meanwhile, less than one-third of those surveyed believe the U.S. is winning the conflict. Negative views of the crisis also prevail among American experts.

For example, in an article published in The Atlantic, political scientist Robert Kagan asserted that America's current failure has worse consequences than the attack on Pearl Harbor.

"The failure in Iran cannot be rectified or ignored. There will be no return to the previous state of affairs, and no ultimate American victory can erase the damage that has been done."

The Strait of Hormuz will no longer be as open as it once was. With control of the strait, Iran becomes a key player in the region and one of the key players in the world.

"The roles of China and Russia as allies of Iran are increasing, while the role of the United States is significantly decreasing," he observed.

Against this backdrop, there are growing calls for the U.S. administration to acknowledge its failure.

Stephen Walt, a professor at the Robert and Renee Belfer Center for International Relations at Harvard University, wrote in an article in Foreign Policy magazine:

"President Trump could have started by reminding everyone that Iran is a persistent problem that none of his predecessors have been able to solve."

He could declare that he wants to resolve the issue once and for all and explain that he has good reason to believe that another bombing campaign would be effective. He could point to the unpopularity and protests that Iran suppressed earlier in the year.

That calculation turned out to be a grave mistake, but in his characteristic style, President Trump was able to remind everyone that in politics no one can offer 100% guarantees and that truly difficult decisions must be made and then blamed on incompetent advisors.

Both publications were released before the announcement of the suspension of negotiations. However, blockading another strait would be another major blow to the US and global economies.

Just hours after Iran's report, President Donald Trump announced he had discussed the situation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and representatives of Hezbollah. According to the President, both sides committed to a ceasefire. But Iran has remained silent so far.

Source: https://giaoducthoidai.vn/moi-chuyen-con-te-hon-vu-tran-chau-cang-voi-my-post780269.html


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