Is there any truth to the information about an unusually large storm about to hit Quang Ninh?

Strong storms, especially those with the potential to directly affect the northern region such as Quang Ninh , are usually concentrated in the middle and late months of the typhoon season (from July to October) (illustrative image).

Regarding some information circulating on social media about the risk of an unusually large storm in Quang Ninh province in early May, on the afternoon of April 20th, expert Nguyen Van Huong, Head of the Weather Forecasting Department (National Center for Meteorological and Hydrological Forecasting), emphasized that this information has no scientific basis.

According to meteorological data, Mr. Nguyen Van Huong stated that in the past 30 years, there has never been a strong typhoon that hit or directly affected Quang Ninh in early May.

"Based on the general understanding of climate patterns, the necessary conditions for the formation of strong storms, historical statistics, and importantly, current observational and long-term forecast data from Vietnamese and international meteorological agencies (USA, Japan, China, European meteorological agencies), the information about a strong storm (level 12) appearing and directly affecting Quang Ninh in early May 2025 is unfounded," Mr. Huong said.

Regarding the typhoon season in the South China Sea and Northwest Pacific, Mr. Huong said that typhoons are most active from around June to November.

Strong storms, especially those with the potential to directly affect the northern region such as Quang Ninh, are usually concentrated in the middle and late months of the typhoon season (from July to October).

"The conditions for a tropical cyclone to develop and reach strong storm intensity (like level 12) require a combination of many factors, which are absent in early May 2025, so a strong storm cannot yet form," a representative from the National Center for Meteorological and Hydrological Forecasting added.

According to the center, weather is always unpredictable, and there is a possibility of other dangerous weather phenomena in May such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail, strong gusts of wind, and localized heavy rain. However, the scenario of a level 12 storm affecting Quang Ninh, as rumored, is unlikely to occur.

Regarding the 2025 disaster season, meteorological agencies predict that the ENSO phenomenon (El Niño, anomalous warming of the surface seawater, and La Niña, anomalous cooling of the surface seawater) is currently in neutral conditions; from May to July, ENSO is likely to remain neutral with a probability of 70-90%.

"Based on current observation and forecast data, the 2025 typhoon season predicts that the number of typhoons and tropical depressions in the East Sea and affecting the mainland will likely be similar to the average for the same period in previous years (approximately 11-13 in the East Sea and 4-5 affecting the mainland). The typhoons are likely to be more concentrated in the latter half of the typhoon season," Mr. Huong added.

TB (summary)

Source: https://baohaiduong.vn/thuc-hu-thong-tin-bao-lon-bat-thuong-sap-do-bo-quang-ninh-409862.html