The truth about the unusually large storm about to hit Quang Ninh

Strong storms, especially those that have the potential to directly affect the Northern region such as Quang Ninh, often concentrate in the middle and late months of the storm season (from July to October) (illustrative photo)

In response to some information circulating on social media about the risk of an unusually large storm in Quang Ninh province in early May, on the afternoon of April 20, expert Nguyen Van Huong, Head of the Weather Forecast Department (National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting), emphasized that this information has no scientific basis.

Mr. Nguyen Van Huong said that according to monitoring data from meteorological agencies, in the past 30 years, there has never been a strong storm that made landfall or directly affected Quang Ninh in early May.

“Based on the general understanding of climate laws, the necessary conditions for the formation of strong storms, historical statistics, and importantly, current observation and long-range forecast data from Vietnam and international meteorological agencies (US, Japan, China, European meteorological agencies), the information about a strong storm (level 12) appearing and directly affecting Quang Ninh in early May 2025 is unfounded,” Mr. Huong said.

Regarding the storm season in the East Sea and Northwest Pacific, Mr. Huong said storms are most active from around June to November.

Strong storms, especially those that have the potential to directly affect the Northern region such as Quang Ninh, often concentrate in the middle and late months of the storm season (from July to October).

“The conditions for a tropical cyclone to develop and reach strong storm intensity (such as level 12) require a combination of many factors that were not present in early May 2025, so a strong storm could not form,” added a representative of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting.

According to the center, the weather is always uncertain, and it is not impossible to rule out the possibility of other dangerous weather conditions in May such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail, strong gusts of wind, and localized heavy rain. However, with the scenario of a strong storm level 12 affecting Quang Ninh as rumored, it is unlikely to appear.

Regarding the 2025 natural disaster season, the meteorological agency assessed that the ENSO phenomenon (the phenomenon of abnormal warming of the surface sea water - El Nino and the phenomenon of abnormal cooling of the surface sea water - La Nina) is in neutral conditions; from May to July, ENSO is likely to maintain a neutral state with a probability of 70 - 90%.

"Based on current monitoring and forecast data, the 2025 storm season is expected to have a similar number of storms and tropical depressions in the East Sea and affecting the mainland compared to the average of many years in the same period (about 11-13 in the East Sea and 4-5 storms affecting the mainland). The possibility of storms will be more concentrated in the second half of the storm season," Mr. Huong added.

TB (summary)

Source: https://baohaiduong.vn/thuc-hu-thong-tin-bao-lon-bat-thuong-sap-do-bo-quang-ninh-409862.html