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News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow, July 26, 2025: Farmers 'hoarding goods' waiting for the 100,000 VND/kg mark, will it be achieved?

Forecast of coffee price on July 26, 2025, will it reach 100,000 VND/kg, while abundant global supply and US-Brazil tariffs cause price fluctuations.

Báo Đà NẵngBáo Đà Nẵng25/07/2025

Update coffee prices today 7/25/2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 25, 2025 continued their streak of 3 consecutive days of increase, with an average increase of 1,300 to 1,500 VND/kg, bringing the current coffee price to around 97,000 - 97,600 VND/kg. In key localities, the increase ranged from 1,300 to 1,500 VND/kg.

Specifically:

In Dak Lak , today's coffee price is 97,500 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND compared to yesterday.

In Lam Dong , today's coffee price is 97,000 VND/kg, an increase of 1,300 VND compared to yesterday.

In Gia Lai , today's coffee price is 97,400 VND/kg, an increase of 1,400 VND compared to yesterday.

In Dak Nong (old, now merged into Lam Dong), today's coffee price is 97,600 VND/kg, an increase of 1,400 VND compared to yesterday.

On the world market, London Robusta coffee on July 25, 2025 was filled with green in all trading terms. The latest September 2025 futures contract increased slightly by 49 USD/ton to 3,349 USD/ton, equivalent to an increase of 1.48%.

However, the following terms such as 11/2025, 01/2026, 03/2026 and 05/2026 all increased slightly from 40 to 45 USD/ton, corresponding to a decrease of about 1.26% to 1.38%. The highest price of the session fluctuated around 3,230 - 3,374 USD/ton.

Similarly, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor on July 25, 2025 also recorded a strong increase in all trading terms. The nearest term in September 2025 increased by 3.50 cents, equivalent to 1.16%, to 304.85 cents/lb.

The remaining maturities also increased simultaneously: December 2025 increased by 3.20 cents (1.09%); March 2026 increased by 3.00 cents (1.05%); May 2026 increased by 2.80 cents (1.00%); and July 2026 increased by 2.75 cents (1.00%). This increase reflects the positive sentiment of investors in the prospect of positive demand for Arabica coffee.

News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow 7/26/2025

Domestic coffee price forecast on July 26, 2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 26, 2025 are expected to face pressure from farmers to maintain prices. Traders in Vietnam said farmers are limiting sales, especially in Dak Lak, with the desire to keep coffee prices at least above VND100,000/kg. This could keep domestic coffee prices stable or have a slight upward trend if buying demand increases. However, pressure from abundant global supplies could somewhat restrain this increase.

World Coffee Price Forecast July 26, 2025

World coffee prices on July 26, 2025 are forecast to continue to fluctuate.

Robusta: Robusta inventories monitored by ICE rose to a one-year high (6,519 lots as of July 24), indicating ample supplies, supported in particular by new harvests from Indonesia. This could put downward pressure on prices or limit robusta’s gains.

For Arabica: ICE-monitored Arabica inventories fell to a three-month low of 806,062 bags, suggesting tighter supplies. However, the tariff issue between the US and Brazil will be a major factor. Brazil's possible 50% import tax on green coffee entering the US from August 1 could prompt US roasters to increase purchases at the moment to avoid higher tariffs, thereby pushing up Arabica prices. Conversely, if Brazil and the US fail to reach an agreement, US import prices will increase significantly, but could put overall downward pressure on prices if demand is affected. The tariff agreement with Indonesia (19%) will also have some impact.

General future trends

The overall direction of the coffee market will depend largely on how the trade negotiations between the US and Brazil and Indonesia unfold. If the 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee is imposed, US coffee prices are unlikely to fall in the near term. US roasters will continue to seek supply amid volatile prices.

Farmers in major producing countries like Vietnam may continue to hold onto stocks in anticipation of better prices, creating a tug-of-war between ample supplies from some regions and price pressure from other producers. Volatility in futures prices is likely to persist in the near term until trade issues are clearly resolved.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/tin-tuc-du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-26-7-2025-nong-dan-gam-hang-cho-moc-100-000-dong-kg-co-dat-duoc-3297865.html


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