US Presidential Election 2024: The Final Stage Promises Much Drama

(Dan Tri) - The 2024 US presidential election is entering the final stage with unprecedented tension, attracting the attention not only of the American people but also of public opinion around the world .

There are less than three weeks left until voters in the United States head to the polls on November 5. The race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump will not only determine the future and path the United States will take in the next four years, but will also have a profound impact on global politics and the economy. According to NBC News on October 13, both Republican and Democratic candidates have a support rate of 48%; Ms. Harris is down 1%, but Mr. Trump is up 4% compared to a month ago. About 4% of respondents are unsure who they will vote for or say they do not want to vote for either of the two; and 10% of voters say they may change their minds before the November 5 election. According to the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in 7 battleground states - the heart of the race, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Specifically, according to WSJ , 50% of voters think Mr. Trump is more suitable to handle the war in Ukraine, while only 39% have the same opinion about Ms. Harris; 48% of respondents believe that Mr. Trump will handle the confrontation between Israel and Hamas while the rate for Ms. Harris is 33%. Many voters believe that Mr. Trump is better able to handle economic and immigration issues, while Ms. Harris is said to be better able to handle housing and health care issues for the people. However, the situation is still complicated and can change rapidly in the final days. Kamala Harris: "A breath of fresh air" and challenges to overcome Unexpectedly chosen to replace incumbent President Joe Biden, who is 80 years old, as the first female candidate of color and at the age of 59, in great shape, Vice President Kamala Harris has brought a breath of fresh air to the race and has a high chance of becoming the 47th President of the United States. Ms. Harris is strongly supported by the Democratic Party, from influential figures such as former President Obama and former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. With her surprisingly excellent fundraising ability, Ms. Harris has raised 678 million USD, twice as much as her rival Trump, who is good at raising money, creating a significant advantage to launch her campaign. Ms. Harris also attracts widespread support from a very diverse range of voters, especially from minorities, women and immigrants. Ms. Harris has always been willing and has made public her personal health information early, creating a good impression of her transparency. The latest medical report released by her campaign concluded that Ms. Harris has "the physical and mental stamina necessary to fulfill the duties of the presidency" and is "in excellent health." However, Ms. Harris is also facing increasing challenges on many fronts. As Vice President, she is affected by the limitations of the current administration's policies, especially in economic and foreign affairs. Her concern to "prove herself" is different from President Biden's, and especially her efforts to balance her stance on sensitive international issues such as the Israel-Palestine/Iran conflict are causing many difficulties and complications for her campaign. Donald Trump: Experienced but still full of controversy Although he lost to Democratic candidate Joe Biden in 2020, Mr. Donald Trump is still a formidable opponent in the current race to return to the White House. Trump brought to the race his experience of running a full term in office, and his stronger focus on immigration and border security helped the former President continue to attract the support of "conservative" voters, who are concerned about border security and fear sharing jobs and benefits with the wave of immigrants. Trump's support from Elon Musk, a tech billionaire and the owner of social network X, who directly participated in the campaign in both battleground states, has given the former President significant advantages to continue to attract different groups of voters. However, Trump's advanced age (78 years old) is also raising concerns about his ability to lead the country, especially when he refused to release detailed medical records since September 2023. In addition, persistent legal allegations from the previous term, especially regarding Mr. Trump's role in the riot at Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021 and his refusal to participate in the second debate between the two candidates, or to accept interviews with media agencies that were previously strong points, are creating significant challenges for his re-election campaign. As analyzed above, in addition to the positive impacts, Mr. Trump's willingness to let billionaire Elon Musk hold a position in the administration if he wins the election has created certain concerns about the possibility that the Trump-Musk alliance could change the traditional way the US government operates, causing many people both inside and outside the US to be apprehensive. Current campaign strategy and outstanding issues In the current sprint phase, both presidential candidates have spent a lot of time campaigning in the battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Mr. Trump focused on Arizona, Pennsylvania and North Carolina; emphasized his tough immigration policy and promised to create more jobs... Meanwhile, Ms. Harris is also actively campaigning in the above states, especially North Carolina, where there is a large African American community, a target that voters can and need to attract. In addition to immigration, the economy, jobs and disaster response are topics that both Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump mentioned a lot to meet the widespread concerns of voters. In particular, after Hurricane Helene devastated a series of areas, including the battleground state of North Carolina, how to respond to climate change and natural disasters has become a key issue in the election campaign that both presidential candidates are focusing on. In terms of communication, both candidates actively use social networks to reach voters, especially young people. Harris is using platforms like TikTok and Instagram to share information and behind-the-scenes moments from the campaign, while Trump maintains a strong presence on Truth Social, which he founded, but has also been actively courting the world- famous X network of his new "ally", Elon Musk. Security is another worrying issue that has emerged in the current election campaign. The fact that candidate Trump has been assassinated twice and recently, a man carrying a weapon was arrested while near the former President's rally, further shows the heat of the election campaign and the level of polarization in American society today. Impact from developments in the international arena The US presidential election is always important not only to the American people but also has a profound impact on the world. Conversely, developments in the world are also increasingly directly affecting each candidate's chances of winning. This year's election is being significantly influenced by the complex and heated international situation in many places today. The conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East not only affect foreign policy but also indirectly affect the US economy through oil prices and inflation. How each candidate proposes to solve these problems will be the key to attracting voter support, and let's wait until November 5 to see how the American people evaluate each candidate. Currently, Vice President Harris is facing more difficulties than Mr. Trump as she is still trying to work with President Biden to handle the above very complex international issues, while in principle, she must not offend any side in this conflict. However, by affirming that she will continue to strongly support Israel to please the Jewish super lobby groups in the heart of the US, Ms. Harris has had to trade off a certain loss of support from the Palestinian Arab community as well as from young people, especially students and white intellectuals. What influences the final result According to the general assessment of analysts and public opinion, the winner of the 2024 presidential election will most likely be determined by the results in 7 battleground states, including "must-win" states, even though the difference in popular votes is only a few thousand voters. The ability to mobilize and gain support from voters of each candidate, especially independent voters and those who have not yet decided, will be very important, especially in states where the two candidates have very close support: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Many experts believe that the final days of the campaign will be especially important for the entire presidential election campaign this time. Unexpected events and the second debate (if any) will most likely create important turning points because Mr. Trump's recent continuous refusal to participate in the second debate with Ms. Harris has more or less influenced the decisions of undecided voters. Other unexpected factors that occur on Election Day, from bad weather to the outbreak of an unusual event such as an assassination or a major or minor terrorist attack, can cause a sharp drop in voter turnout, leading to unexpected changes in the final result. Above all, factors such as the economic situation, unemployment and inflation rates, as well as the issue of illegal immigration will play an important role in voters' voting decisions, in which the way each presidential candidate proposes to solve these issues will be the key to attracting support. The 2024 race for the White House has now entered an extremely tense and dramatic sprint phase. This is not only a race between two individuals but also a confrontation between two different visions of the future of America, at least for the next 4 years. No matter who wins, the outcome of this election will certainly have far-reaching impacts not only on the United States but also on the world. In addition to shaping the policies and path that America will take, the results of this election will also affect America's position and role in the international arena in the coming years as well as the shaping of the future world order.

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