Messi's club has 95% chance of reaching the round of 16 of the Club World Cup

Messi helped Inter Miami have an extremely important 2-1 victory over Porto on June 20, thereby securing a 95% chance of reaching the round of 16 of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025™.

Messi and Inter Miami are eliminated in which case?

This possibility is very low, only about 5% according to Football Rankings , because FIFA's regulations prioritize direct confrontation in the group stage of the Club World Cup 2025™ first if there are 2 or more teams with the same number of points. After that, other criteria such as goal difference, number of goals scored... are considered. This is a big change of FIFA compared to previous tournaments, such as the 2022 World Cup, only the goal difference in previous group stage matches is counted.

Messi helped Inter Miami have an extremely important win and put one foot in the round of 16 of the Club World Cup.

Photo: Reuters

Messi and Inter Miami can only be eliminated if they lose heavily to Palmeiras in the final round at 8am on June 24, and Al Ahly must defeat Porto with a high score at the same time. At that time, Inter Miami and Al Ahly have 4 points and draw 0-0 in a direct confrontation, the goal difference will be considered to determine which team will advance.

Even in this case, Inter Miami currently has a goal difference of +1 (2/1), while Al Ahly is -2 (0/2), so they still have a significant advantage to get through the narrow door to continue, as long as they do not lose with a score too big and a difference of 2 goals or more.

If Inter Miami wins against Palmeiras, they will advance as Group A winners. A draw will see them second.

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Meanwhile, Al Ahly's defeat of Porto will not be easy. Porto still have a slim chance of advancing, they need to beat Al Ahly, and hope Palmeiras lose to Inter Miami by at least 3 goals to consider goal difference. Porto currently has a goal difference of -1 (1/2), while Palmeiras is +2 (2-0).

Porto drew 0-0 with Palmeiras and lost 1-2 to Inter Miami in their direct confrontation. So they only have hope of competing for a place in the next round with the Brazilian representative. In case Porto wins against Al Ahly and Inter Miami loses to Palmeiras, Porto also loses the direct confrontation with Inter Miami (by 4 points). In this case, Inter Miami will go on with the 2nd place in Group A.

Therefore, Messi and his teammates at Inter Miami have a huge advantage to continue to the round of 16 of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025™ with a possibility of up to 95%, according to Football Rankings . Here, they have a high possibility of facing 1 of 3 extremely strong opponents: Botafogo, PSG or Atletico Madrid, the teams competing for 2 spots to continue in Group B.

In the round of 16, the team that finishes first in Group A will face the second in Group B, and the team that finishes first in Group B will face the second in Group A. Inter Miami is expected to be the second in Group A, with the possibility of facing Botafogo (temporarily ranked first in Group B, after a shocking 1-0 win over PSG).

However, the situation in Group B is currently very unpredictable, even the bottom team Seattle Sounders FC (0 points) still has a chance to continue. The last round of Seattle Sounders FC meets PSG (3 points) at 2:00 a.m. on June 24, while Atletico Madrid (3 points) will face Botafogo (6 points) at the same time.

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Meanwhile, the first team to qualify for the round of 16 of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025™ is Flamengo (Brazil) in Group D after a 3-1 win over Chelsea on June 21. In addition, two teams have also been officially eliminated: Auckland City and Los Angeles FC.

Watch FIFA Club World Cup 2025™ live and only in Vietnam on FPT Play, at http://fptplay.vn

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/club-cua-messi-co-den-95-kha-nang-vao-vong-16-doi-club-world-cup-185250621090510497.htm