Coffee prices have fallen sharply across the board.

VTV.vn - The global commodities market was dominated by red this past week, as weakening demand prospects cast a shadow over both energy and industrial raw materials.

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At the close of last week's trading, the industrial raw materials group saw overwhelming selling pressure, with 6 out of 9 commodities experiencing price declines. Specifically, Arabica coffee prices fell by 4.5% during the week, dropping to $8,224 per ton; similarly, Robusta coffee prices also decreased by more than 1% to $4,480 per ton.

According to MXV's assessment, pressure is mounting on the coffee market as investors react to positive news in trade negotiations between the US and Brazil, along with positive signals from coffee production in Vietnam – the world's second-largest coffee producer and the leading producer of Robusta.

Last Monday, a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sparked hopes that Washington might consider lifting the 50% tariff on goods imported from Brazil, thereby putting direct pressure on the coffee market.

In an interview with a local radio station, Mr. Lula said he was “surprised by the positive outcome of the exchange,” and that Brazil had proposed that the US consider removing tariffs on its exports. Additionally, the Brazilian Foreign Minister and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio are reportedly planning a meeting in Washington, following their recent phone call.

In Vietnam, according to Sucafina's field survey, coffee production for the 2025-2026 crop year is expected to reach approximately 29.65 million bags, an 8.3% increase compared to the previous crop year. Of this, Robusta coffee is estimated at around 28.34 million bags, a 7.4% increase compared to the same period last year, while Arabica coffee is estimated at 1.3 million bags, equivalent to an increase of approximately 31.3%.

The 2025-2026 crop season in the Central Highlands has begun. According to local people, harvesting will start in some areas in about 15-20 days, and the main harvest period will begin around mid-November.

Therefore, domestic and export coffee trading remains relatively quiet, with low trading volumes and large warehouses showing caution in purchasing. Domestic coffee prices on October 11th remained at 112,000-113,000 VND/kg, a decrease of 3,000 VND/kg compared to the same period last week. Regarding exports, during the period from October 1st to 7th, the volume of exported green coffee beans reached over 12,000 tons, including both Robusta and Arabica, a slight increase of 0.8% compared to the previous week, equivalent to an export value of approximately 62 million USD. The FOB export price of Robusta coffee ranged from 3,396 to 6,520 USD/ton.

Regarding weather conditions, generally, the climate in Brazil remains relatively favorable across most coffee-growing regions, with forecasts predicting increased rainfall in the coming days, providing necessary moisture after a dry winter. Meteorological forecasts indicate continued rain next week, supporting flowering and the formation of the Brazilian coffee crop for the 2026-2027 season. In this context, preliminary forecasts for Brazil's new coffee crop are expected to appear on the market soon.

Meanwhile, in Vietnam, the Central Highlands region recorded scattered rainfall in some areas, but this did not significantly affect the coffee plants. Local people are actively tending to their crops in the final stages before harvest to ensure the best possible yield and quality.

Source: https://vtv.vn/gia-ca-phe-dong-loat-giam-manh-100251013143009936.htm