At 2:30 tonight (October 12), Indonesia will face Iraq in the 4th qualifying round of the 2026 World Cup at King Abdullah Stadium. Before this match, Garuda (the nickname of the Indonesian team) was in a corner after losing to Saudi Arabia.

Indonesia has a pretty bad record against Iraq (Photo: AFC).
If they lose to Iraq, coach Kluivert's team will certainly be eliminated. However, the world press still does not rate Indonesia's chances of winning highly.
Sport Mole commented: “Iraq hope to participate in the World Cup for the first time since 1986. This is a great opportunity for them to do this. Coach Graham Arnold's team has prepared well for this stage, having just won the King's Cup in Thailand last month.
In the third qualifying round of the 2026 World Cup, Iraq ranked third in Group B with 15 points, just 1 point behind the second-placed team (participating in the World Cup), Jordan.
Saudi Arabia's victory over Indonesia in the opening match means Iraq must beat the Indonesian team if they do not want to be at a disadvantage. Only the group winners will qualify directly for the 2026 World Cup, while the runners-up must participate in the 5th qualifying round to decide who will participate in the Intercontinental Play-off.
Meanwhile, Indonesia is facing a do-or-die match. Another defeat will end Garuda's chance to participate in the World Cup.

If they continue to lose to Iraq, Indonesia will be eliminated (Photo: AFC).
History is not on Indonesia’s side as they have never won in 8 matches against Iraq (2 draws, 6 losses). Only a victory can help coach Kluivert’s team maintain their chance to qualify for the World Cup.”
Sport Mole predicts Iraq to win 2-0 against Indonesia in this match.
Meanwhile, according to analysis by the Be Soccer supercomputer, Iraq has a 67.2% chance of winning. The West Asian team's expected goals (xG) is 1.92. Meanwhile, Indonesia has a 12.1% chance of winning with an expected goals of 0.67. The probability of the match ending in a draw is 20.7%.
The most likely score for Iraq to win is 1-0 with 14.4%, followed by 2-0 with 13.9% and 2-1 with 9.3%.
Source: https://dantri.com.vn/the-thao/bao-chi-the-gioi-du-doan-ket-qua-tran-indonesia-gap-iraq-20251011183825269.htm
Comment (0)