Two scenarios for the path and impact of Typhoon Matmo

Storm Matmo is forecast to reach level 12-13 intensity when it approaches the Gulf of Tonkin. The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting has proposed two scenarios, the most likely of which is that the storm weakens when it makes landfall in Quang Ninh-Hai Phong, causing widespread heavy rain in the North.

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, on the morning of October 2, the tropical depression east of the Philippines intensified into a storm, internationally named Matmo (storm number 11 in the East Sea in 2025). By noon on October 3, the storm was active in the eastern coast of Luzon Island (Philippines).

According to international storm forecasting centers, this afternoon (October 3), Typhoon Matmo will pass north of Luzon Island and enter the East Sea. It is forecasted that by the afternoon and night of October 5, the storm will pass between Hainan Island and Leizhou Peninsula (China) and then enter the northern part of the Gulf of Tonkin.

When in the eastern area of ​​Leizhou peninsula, the storm can reach level 12-13 intensity, gusting to level 14-15; when entering Bac Bo Gulf, it will decrease to level 10, then it is likely to affect Quang Ninh area and gradually weaken.

Domestic meteorological experts give two scenarios:

Scenario 1 (70% - 75% chance): The storm moves north, weakening when making landfall. The Gulf of Tonkin has strong winds of level 9 - 10, in the mainland of Quang Ninh - Hai Phong winds of level 8 - 9, the North has heavy rain, mainly in the midlands and mountainous areas.

Scenario 2 (25% - 30%): the storm maintains its intensity when making landfall, possibly causing winds of level 9 - 10 (gusts of level 12 - 14) in Quang Ninh - Hai Phong, with a wide range of influence down to Ninh Binh , heavier rain and strong winds extending further inland.

As the storm's direction and intensity may change, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting advises people to closely monitor forecast bulletins. Currently, the agency is issuing four bulletins per day about storm No. 11, and from the afternoon of October 3, this number will increase to eight bulletins per day.

Heavy rain and flood warning: From the night of October 5 to the end of the night of October 7, the North and Thanh Hoa will have heavy to very heavy rain (rainfall 100mm-200mm, some places over 300mm).

Northern mountainous and midland areas: 150mm - 250mm, locally over 400mm.

From October 6 to October 9, there is a possibility of a flood occurring on rivers in the North, Thanh Hoa, and Nghe An, with the flood peak generally at levels above alert 2 to alert 3.

nhandan.vn

Source: https://baolaocai.vn/hai-kich-ban-duong-di-va-tac-dong-cua-bao-matmo-post883604.html