Where is the peace treaty?

Both sides have expressed a willingness to negotiate a peace settlement to end the conflict; at the same time, they have affirmed their determination to continue the confrontation if their preconditions are not met. This shows that, although the peace talks have shown positive signs, there is still a risk of reversal, or even collapse, at any time.

According to media reports so far, the US and Iran are quite close to a peace agreement, with the focus being on a memorandum outlining the roadmap and direction for the next steps in peace talks. The ceasefire between the two sides is expected to be extended for another 60 days to facilitate negotiations towards a formal peace agreement.

Other points mentioned in the Memorandum include the Strait of Hormuz, the amount of uranium enriched by Iran, the lifting of US sanctions against Iran, the return of some of Iran's assets currently frozen abroad, and Israel ending the war in Lebanon. However, all of these points indicate that the disagreements between the two sides remain quite deep.

Donald Trump asserted that the US would return the enriched uranium from Iran and that Iran had agreed to destroy it. However, Iran denied both claims and only confirmed that the two sides would hold separate negotiations on Iran's nuclear program.

Meanwhile, the US has remained silent on Iran's demands for the lifting of sanctions and embargoes, as well as the release of Iranian assets frozen abroad. The US has also yet to officially respond to Iran's condition that Israel must end the war in Lebanon as a condition for any peace agreement reached between Tehran and Washington.

Regarding the Strait of Hormuz, Donald Trump announced that the strait would reopen but also emphasized that the US would continue its blockade of the strategic waterway until Iran accepted a peace agreement with the US. For its part, Iran not only demanded that the US end the blockade but also asserted its sovereignty over the strait.

The aforementioned differences in viewpoints indicate that the US and Iran still face intense negotiations if they want to reach a peace agreement in the near future. However, it is clear that both sides have jointly shaped the content of the Memorandum, showing that both sides have an urgent need and give top priority to formally ending the war.

Donald Trump needs a deal with Iran not only to avoid war but also to eliminate the enriched uranium stockpile in Iran. Only then can he prove himself superior to his predecessors in subduing Iran.

The US president also desperately needs an agreement with Iran to escape his domestic dilemma and to salvage the Republican Party's chances of winning the upcoming US midterm congressional elections. However, it cannot be ruled out that the current concessions made by the US president could be reversed after the election.

Iran needs an end to the war to recover economically and militarily , and Tehran also needs an agreement with the US as proof that the US has failed in Iran. At the same time, Iran wants to take advantage of Donald Trump's need to end the war to force the US to make concessions on certain issues, thereby creating favorable "faits accomplis" for itself. And of course, this will buy it more time to prepare for a new war with the US.

Based on current developments, it appears that the US and Iran are now close to a temporary agreement, but are still quite far from achieving a truly lasting peace treaty.

Source: https://hanoimoi.vn/hoa-uoc-dang-o-dau-971964.html