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Renewing and creating growth drivers

Global trade is facing policy uncertainties that are difficult to predict. In its recently released “Global Trade Statistics and Outlook” report, the World Trade Organization (WTO) warned that serious risks, including the imposition of reciprocal tariffs and wider spillovers of policy uncertainty, could lead to a further 1.5% decline in the value of global merchandise trade, particularly harming less developed and export-oriented countries.

Thời báo Ngân hàngThời báo Ngân hàng24/04/2025

Many difficulties

In that context, in Vietnam, Mr. Hoang Quang Phong, Vice President of the Vietnam Federation of Commerce and Industry (VCCI), said that the production and business activities of the enterprise sector are also affected by many adverse impacts of geopolitical conflicts, disruptions in supply chains and input materials. A nationwide survey by VCCI showed that only 32% of enterprises said they would expand production and business in the next 2 years.

However, Vietnam is still persistent with the GDP growth target of 8% or more by 2025, creating a foundation for continuous double-digit growth in the following years; striving to become a modern industrialized country with high average income by 2030; and a developed country with high income by 2045. Therefore, according to experts, this is an important time to promote reforms and unleash resources to maintain high and sustainable economic growth.

Institutional reform, improving performance

The Vice President of VCCI emphasized that reforming economic institutions, improving the business environment, promoting and supporting enterprises will be the key "keywords". Thereby increasing the capital absorption capacity of enterprises, developing and enhancing the competitiveness of Vietnamese enterprises, especially the private economic sector, to gradually master core technology and penetrate deeper into the global value chain. These are also important requirements set forth in the coming time.

Sharing this view, Dr. Vu Thanh Tu Anh, Fulbright University Vietnam, said that in a rapidly changing world environment, to achieve high growth, we must have a “non-traditional” mindset. That is, to put the private economy in a worthy position to become the most important economic growth driver. This is exactly what we are doing.

Along with that is increasing labor productivity, in which science and technology, especially the application of artificial intelligence (AI) is an important factor; forming an innovative economy. That is a key issue to achieve high growth.

In the face of difficulties, Mr. Phung Xuan Minh, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Saigon Ratings, assessed that this is also an opportunity for Vietnam to implement a new economic development strategy towards restructuring the economy; restructuring import-export activities, avoiding dependence on one main market.

Vietnam needs to quickly shift from exporting cheap goods to an export model based on added value and enhancing the intrinsic value of products, in order to effectively cope with both short-term and long-term fluctuations in international trade policies.

In addition, we need to be more proactive and implement feasible solutions to maximize our comparative advantages over many other countries, as we have 17 Free Trade Agreements signed with more than 60 countries around the world. This is the key to implementing the strategy of diversifying import-export markets and increasing competitiveness, attracting FDI capital flows in the coming time.

In order for the economy to develop stably and sustainably in the long term, in addition to renewing traditional growth drivers such as investment, consumption, export, etc., Mr. Minh believes that Vietnam needs to continue to create new growth drivers and build a solid foundation for development in economic institutions, business environment, transport infrastructure, human resources, digital economic infrastructure, science, technology and innovation, digital transformation, green economic transformation and circular economy. In which, digital transformation plays a particularly important role.

Emphasizing the role of institutions, Dr. Dang Duc Anh, Deputy Director of the Institute for Policy and Strategy Studies, said that it is necessary to revise legal documents that affect growth, both on the supply and demand sides; to truly remove difficulties for businesses and the private economy. Next is to promote digital transformation and data connection to create a development-creating apparatus. At the same time, thoroughly decentralize and delegate power, creating conditions for localities to decide and act.

Source: https://thoibaonganhang.vn/lam-moi-tao-lap-nhung-dong-luc-tang-truong-163186.html


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