More than 2 billion people in around 50 countries, representing over 60% of global GDP, will participate in national elections in 2024. This will be the year with the most elections ever.
Hotspots
On November 5, 2024, more than 160 million American voters are expected to cast their ballots to elect the country's 60th President. Incumbent President Joe Biden has decided to run for a second consecutive term, while former President Donald Trump is considered a potential Republican candidate.
Public attention will also be focused on the Russian elections after President Vladimir Putin announced his re-election bid for the presidential election on March 17, 2024, and received support from politicians and voters. India plans to hold general elections in April and May 2024. According to the Chatham House Institute (UK), this will be the world's largest election next year, with over 900 million registered voters out of the South Asian nation's 1.4 billion people. More than 400 million European voters will elect the European Parliament for a five-year term in elections taking place from June 6 to 9, 2024. The elections in the 27 member states of the European Union (EU) will determine the composition of the parliament, which will have approximately 700 seats and will oversee European legislation.
Regarding the US presidential election, the Maine Superior Court ruled to disqualify Donald Trump from the state's primary election due to his role in the January 2021 Capitol riot.
The results of elections, especially in major countries, will determine who has the greatest influence in the world, contributing to changes in the current global order.
AI election
The Economist magazine notes that voters in countries holding elections may experience their first “AI election.” AI (artificial intelligence) could help reduce the enormous costs of campaigning, while also playing a useful role for lesser-known new politicians , as well as candidates with good policy ideas who are struggling to reach voters due to a lack of funding.
However, AI has some dangerous flaws. Most worryingly, misinformation can be spread through deepfake videos (fake videos mimicking the faces and voices of real people) of prominent politicians. According to observers, AI-generated content could have a more significant impact on elections than social media. On the American website Axios, Tom Newhouse, Vice President of AI Enterprise at Convergence Media, wrote: The 2024 US presidential election “will be an AI election,” far more disruptive than the so-called “Facebook elections” of 2008 and 2012.
Observers emphasize the need for appropriate legal frameworks to reduce the risk of AI directly influencing elections. In the US, legislation introduced before the US Senate in September 2023 prohibits the improper use of AI in political advertising. In the EU, a draft AI Act, agreed upon by the European Parliament and member states on December 9th, includes clear obligations to apply in cases where AI systems are “classified as high-risk, considering their potentially significant impact on democracy and the rule of law”…
Meanwhile, since November 2023, Google has required YouTube and other parties displaying political ads through its service to clearly indicate the use of AI to create or synthesize images/voices in a visible location. Meta, the company that operates Facebook, is also implementing similar mandatory labeling for political ads using AI.
Compiled by MINH CHÂU
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