Exchange rate on the world market
Illustration photo. (Photo source: Internet)
The Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the USD against six major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), stopped at 97.87 - unchanged from July 12, 2025.
The DXY index, which measures the value of the USD against six major currencies, is hovering around 97-98, pausing just before the important resistance level of 98.00. This level reflects the USD's slight recovery after hitting a multi-year low (around 96.30-96.40) in early July 2025. This recovery is largely supported by positive market sentiment towards US economic data, however, pressure from new trade policies, especially tariffs imposed by the Donald Trump administration, is creating both opportunities and risks for the USD.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate at 4.25-4.5%. However, the market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% at its September and December meetings, due to pressure from President Trump and some signs that inflation may be slowing. If US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, due to be released in the coming days, shows higher-than-expected inflation, the Fed may delay the rate cut, thereby strengthening the USD. Conversely, if inflation is lower than forecast, the USD may come under pressure as investors expect the Fed to ease policy sooner.
Another important factor is US trade policies, especially the new tariffs. The Trump administration has announced a 35% tariff on imports from Canada and 20% on some other trading partners, in an effort to boost domestic production. These measures could increase prices in the US, pushing inflation higher and supporting the dollar in the short term.
The situation in the Middle East will also affect market sentiment. A reduction in tensions in the region could reduce demand for the dollar as a safe haven, leading to downward pressure. Conversely, any unexpected developments, such as a military response from Iran or its allies, could send the dollar soaring as investors seek safety. In addition, China's GDP report, due this week, will also impact the dollar. If China's economy shows signs of weakness, the dollar could benefit as Asian currencies like the yuan weaken.
While tariff concerns are supporting strength in the dollar, some traders remain skeptical about the medium-term outlook for the currency, which has come under selling pressure this year.
“My baseline forecast remains for a slow but steady decline in the US dollar over the medium term. However, it has clearly fallen quite a bit in a short period of time, so there is now the potential for a modest recovery,” said Michael Brown, an analyst at Pepperstone.
The USD is likely to maintain a slight gain or stabilize in a narrow range next week, with the DXY index fluctuating around 97-98.5. However, downside risks remain if geopolitical factors ease or the Fed signals an earlier-than-expected rate cut.
Domestic USD exchange rate
In the domestic market, at the beginning of the trading session on July 14, the State Bank announced the central exchange rate of the Vietnamese Dong against the USD at 25,128 VND.
The reference USD exchange rate at the State Bank's buying and selling exchange center remains unchanged, currently at: 23,922 VND - 26,334 VND.
Specifically, at Vietcombank, the USD exchange rate is 25,900 - 26,290 VND/USD, unchanged in both directions, compared to yesterday's trading session.
NCB Bank is buying USD cash at the lowest price: 1 USD = 25,740 VND
VRB Bank is buying USD transfers at the lowest price: 1 USD = 25,880 VND
PGBank is buying USD cash at the highest price: 1 USD = 26,000 VND
OCB Bank is buying USD transfers at the highest price: 1 USD = 26,010 VND
HSBC Bank is selling USD cash at the lowest price: 1 USD = 26,234 VND
HSBC Bank is selling USD transfers at the lowest price: 1 USD = 26,234 VND
SCB Bank is selling USD cash at the highest price: 1 USD = 26,370 VND
SCB Bank is selling USD transfers at the highest price: 1 USD = 26,370 VND
The EUR exchange rate at the State Bank's buying and selling exchange remains unchanged, currently at: 27,869 VND - 30,802 VND.
The Japanese Yen exchange rate at the State Bank's exchange office for buying and selling remains unchanged, currently at: 163 VND - 180 VND.
Source: https://doanhnghiepvn.vn/kinh-te/gia-ngoai-te-ngay-14-7-2025-usd-di-ngang-index-dung-o-muc-97-87-diem/20250714081435061
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