The proof of this lies in Mr Trump's own actions, not his campaign statements.
Ukraine proactively welcomes Trump's election scenario
For many foreign policy observers, Mr. Trump’s victory, along with his lukewarm attitude toward the NATO military bloc, his criticism of the amount of US aid to Ukraine, and his commitment to reaching an agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine military conflict… have created a sense of uncertainty about the US commitment to Ukraine.
Donald Trump shakes hands with Ukrainian President Zelensky in New York in September 2024. (Photo: The Hill)
However, there are signs of the opposite surprise, that Mr. Trump becoming the owner of the White House is not necessarily bad news for Kiev.
It is no coincidence that Ukrainian President Zelensky was one of the first world leaders to call Mr. Trump immediately after he won the 2024 US presidential election. Congratulating President-elect Trump, leader Zelensky expressed confidence in the “potential for even greater cooperation” between the two countries, the United States and Ukraine.
The Great Undercurrent That Trump Cannot Escape
Trump is often described as isolationist, nationalist and anti-interventionist in international politics. He has often advocated these views in his rhetoric, but has taken actions that contradict them.
In December 2023, the US Congress passed a bipartisan bill that would prohibit the US president from unilaterally withdrawing the US from NATO. The Republican sponsor of the bill, Senator Marco Rubio, has emerged as a Trump surrogate in recent months and is expected to be appointed as US Secretary of State in Trump's second term.
The United States and Europe remain each other’s most important markets. Instability in Europe has implications for the U.S. and global economies. As a result, the United States has a strong incentive to maintain its role in European security.
Moreover, there is no certainty that the future Trump administration will deviate from the policies of the Obama administration, the Biden administration, or even the first-term Trump administration - all of which viewed China as a challenge to the US.
There are points where Mr. Trump is tougher on Russia than his predecessor.
People often talk about the warm relationship between Mr. Trump and Russian President Putin. However, in his first term, Mr. Trump has adopted an even tougher policy toward Russia than the previous Obama administration.
For example, President Trump approved the sale of anti-tank missiles to Ukraine after the Obama administration had previously refused to do so. Also in 2018, the US withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.
Then, in 2019, Trump signed the European Energy Security Protection Act, which included sanctions blocking the construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline linking Russia to Germany. This was one of 52 policy actions taken by the first Trump administration to contain Russia.
Nearly three years after Russia launched its “special military operation” in Ukraine, the Kremlin’s military machine is still running on energy revenues. In this energy sector, Trump’s policies could still hurt Russian interests.
For example, Mr. Trump has frequently promised to introduce a new wave of oil and gas drilling in the United States. Once U.S. oil and gas production increases, it could lower global and Russian oil and gas prices, thereby affecting Russia’s ability to pursue military operations on the ground.
When he returns to the White House, Mr. Trump will further strengthen US sanctions on Iranian oil, thereby reducing Tehran's ability to supply weapons and ammunition to Moscow.
Thus, once Mr. Trump takes power for the second time, Russia may encounter many new difficulties in the conflict with Ukraine, even if indirectly.
Not only that, President-elect Trump's personality is unpredictable, so some observers even commented that in the situation where Mr. Trump took office in January 2025 without finding a quick solution to the military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine, he could suddenly turn to challenge Russian President Putin and increase US aid to Ukraine.
At that time, Russia will face many difficulties from Mr. Trump - who claims to be Mr. Putin's "best friend".
For its part, the Kremlin also expressed skepticism about Trump’s ability to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict within 24 hours. The Russian president’s press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, said that Trump’s statements were “exaggerated” in the context of the US election campaign.
Source: https://vtcnews.vn/nhieu-dau-hieu-cho-thay-ong-trump-se-khong-bo-roi-ukraine-ar908363.html
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