The New York Times and Siena College have just released the final survey results before the US election showing that the two candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have an equal support rate.
The results of a survey from October 20-23 just released by The New York Times show that US Vice President Kamala Harris has 48% of the popular vote, equal to former President Donald Trump.
Trump's approval rating has leveled with Harris's in a poll by The New York Times and Siena College after falling behind several times.
This is the final national poll by The New York Times and Siena College before Election Day, November 5. Tens of millions of voters have already cast their ballots early.
The above result is an unwanted signal for Ms. Harris because in recent elections, Democratic candidates often have an advantage in the popular vote even when they lose to their opponents in terms of electoral votes, which play a decisive role in the race.
Notably, in the most recent previous survey, released in early October, Ms. Harris led with 49% support compared to Mr. Trump's 46%.
The poll shows some positive signs for both candidates. For Trump, 15% of respondents said immigration was the most important issue, up from 12% in the previous poll. The number of people who trust Trump to handle immigration is 11 percentage points higher than Harris. In addition, only 28% of respondents said the country, now run by President Joe Biden and Vice President Harris, is heading in the right direction.
Forty-one percent of respondents said Mr. Trump, 78, was too old to be president, unchanged from July, despite Ms. Harris, 60, spending a lot of time highlighting the age gap.
On Harris’s side, the encouraging sign is that she has narrowed the gap with Trump on the economy , the most important factor in the election. Specifically, the number of voters who think Trump will manage the economy is more than 6 percentage points higher than Harris, down from 13 percentage points in September. Harris also leads by 16 percentage points on protecting abortion rights.
Of the 15% of undecided respondents, 42% said they favored Harris, while only 32% said they favored Trump. Two weeks ago, Trump had 36% of the vote while Harris had 35%.
According to The New York Times , the latest survey results reveal an overview of the situation, but this year's US presidential election will be decided in only 7 battleground states, where the two candidates have spent most of their time and resources campaigning. Most surveys in the 7 battleground states, including Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, suggest the race will be very close.
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