According to CBRE Vietnam's Q4 2025 real estate market report, approximately 4,500 low-rise housing units will be launched in the former Ho Chi Minh City area, 20 times higher than in 2024. A significant portion of this supply comes from the mega-urban project in Can Gio, which is expected to provide around 64,000 townhouses and apartments to the market. The absorption rate for projects launched in 2025 is projected to average 70% across quarters.
Meanwhile, the market in the former Binh Duong region, after the merger, saw more active sales, with 17,300 new apartments offered for sale, of which about 80% were concentrated in Di An and Thuan An (formerly). The average primary selling price in Binh Duong was 47 million VND/m2.
In 2026, the supply of low-rise housing in Ho Chi Minh City is projected to improve thanks to new urban development projects currently underway. Photo: Dinh Du.
“The merger of provinces and cities and the synchronized investment in key infrastructure in Ho Chi Minh City have stimulated a more vibrant real estate market. In addition, the government 's efforts to remove legal obstacles have helped the market show increasingly optimistic signs. The plan to digitize real estate transactions and identify assets, expected to be implemented in March 2026, will be a significant step forward in making the market more transparent, reducing risks, and creating a foundation for healthy and sustainable development, instead of the short-term speculation seen previously.”
"In 2026, the supply of low-rise housing in Ho Chi Minh City is projected to improve thanks to new urban projects being implemented in the eastern and southern areas. The market supply is expected to reach approximately 5,500 units, gradually increasing year by year, reaching over 15,000 units by 2028," said Ms. Duong Thuy Dung, CEO of CBRE Vietnam.
According to forecasts by the Vietnam Association of Real Estate Brokers (VARS), the absorption rate of apartment sales will be positive in the first three quarters of 2025, but liquidity will decrease sharply in the fourth quarter of 2025. This is due to abundant new supply, while rising interest rates are making investors more cautious.
According to the Ministry of Construction , real estate inventory showed signs of increasing again in the second half of the year. Reports from 24 out of 34 localities showed that the inventory of projects in the fourth quarter of 2025 was approximately 32,894 units and land plots. Of these, the inventory of apartments was 10,952 units, detached houses 9,810 units, and land plots 12,132 plots. Compared to the third quarter of 2025, the inventory of apartments and detached houses increased by about 24%, while the inventory of land plots increased by about 22%.
Source: https://nongnghiepmoitruong.vn/thanh-khoan-chung-cu-chung-lai-d795770.html
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