Brighton - Liverpool match score prediction: The new champion's dignity

Mo Salash scored in the 2-2 draw at the Amex last season

Boosted by their 2-0 win over Wolves, Brighton will be looking for a big win in round 37 when they face Liverpool at the Amex. The Seagulls want to leapfrog Brentford into eighth place in their hopes of qualifying for Europe. They are really motivated to beat Liverpool and the English press are predicting that they will be aggressive in their hunt for goals.

However, beating Liverpool is easier said than done, especially when The Reds have a full squad and Brighton are still without key players due to injury. Players such as Ferdi Kadioglu, Georginio Rutter and James Milner are all in the treatment room.

Liverpool will of course be keen to make a fresh start to a hugely successful Premier League campaign. The new champions dropped two points in a 2-2 draw with Arsenal, but they appear determined to end the campaign on a high note.

The press was abuzz with rumours that the Reds were busy preparing for the coronation next week and had already booked their summer holidays, so they had no mind to play Brighton. But Arne Slot really wanted to save face for the 20th title in history, since reaching the finish line, Liverpool had lost to Chelsea and drawn with Arsenal, now they couldn't lose face on the trip south.

Furthermore, Liverpool have not lost their last away game of a campaign since 2017-18. It is a good habit for Arne Slot to keep. Brighton have been beaten twice by Liverpool this season, a 3-2 home defeat in the EFL Cup and a 2-1 defeat at Anfield just days later, although Brighton have not lost to Liverpool at the Amex in the Premier League since March 2022.

Prediction: Brighton - Liverpool 1-2

Head to Head

11-02-2024	Liverpool	Brighton	2-1
March 31, 2024	Liverpool	Brighton	2-1
08-10-2023	Brighton	Liverpool	2-2
14-1-2023	Brighton	Liverpool	3-0
10-01-2022	Liverpool	Brighton	3-3
12-3-2022	Brighton	Liverpool	0-2
October 30, 2021	Liverpool	Brighton	2-2
03-2-2021	Liverpool	Brighton	0-1
November 28, 2020	Brighton	Liverpool	1-1
08-7-2020	Brighton	Liverpool	1-3

5/20 02:00

[9] Brighton - Liverpool [1]

2,025

0 : 0

1.875

1.90

3 1/4

1.875

5/20 02:00

[9] Brighton vs Liverpool [1]

1,975

0 : 0

1.90

1,925

3 1/4

1.90

5/20 02:00

[9] Brighton vs Liverpool [1]

2.00

0 : 0

1.90

2.00

3 1/4

1.90

In the match at the Amex, Brighton's motivation was very clear as a win would help them take 8th place, tied for a Confetence League spot. Liverpool, on the other hand, only played a formality match, so the odds from the start were even, win enough, lose 87, even though Liverpool won all three previous encounters with Brighton in all competitions. As of this morning, it is still even and Liverpool's price has increased to 90.

In the race for Europe, Crystal Palace have already secured a Europa League place by beating Manchester City in the FA Cup final, with Chelsea the other (if the Blues win this year's Conference League final and finish sixth or seventh in the Premier League), but eighth place in the Premier League is still enough to qualify for the Conference League, leaving the quartet of Brentford, Brighton (55 points), Fulham (54 points) and Bournemouth (53 points) with a last-ditch hope.

In fact, Brighton didn't need to win, a draw was enough to see them past Brentford before their final game at Tottenham (just three days after the Europa League final).

Anyway, with the equal odds, choosing the away team is still more secure because Liverpool must maintain the dignity of the champion and respect other opponents in the race to the finish line.

A rare occurrence in the Premier League this season is that opposite scores are priced the same in pairs. Typically, 1-0 and 0-1 are both priced at 14 to win; 2-0 and 0-2 are priced at 17; 2-1 and 1-2 are priced at 9.6, while 3-1 and 1-3 are priced at 17 and 16. This phenomenon means that the possibility of a draw is very high. The proof is that the score of 1-1 is priced at only 8.3, while 2-2 is priced at 1 to win only 11.

Source: https://nld.com.vn/soi-ti-so-tran-brighton-liverpool-the-dien-cua-nha-tan-vo-dich-196250519130524883.htm