Why did durian prices skyrocket to over 120,000 VND/kg?

Out of stock, durian prices soar again

On the morning of November 5, Mr. Nguyen Nhu Cuong, Director of the Department of Crop Production ( Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development ) answered VTC News about the reason for the high price of durian. According to Mr. Cuong, currently, the peak durian season in the Western provinces and Dak Lak is almost over, only off-season durian remains with a small area in Gia Lai province, with the remaining output of about 260,000 tons.

“Because durian production is low, while Chinese demand is high, prices are increasing. Whether the price is expensive or cheap is decided by the market, not by the agricultural sector,” said Mr. Cuong.

Durian prices are increasing quite high (Photo: VNA).

Also answering VTC News on the morning of November 5, Mr. Dang Phuc Nguyen, General Secretary of the Vietnam Fruit and Vegetable Association, said that the increase in durian prices was predicted when the largest growing area, Dak Lak, had more than 23,000 hectares harvested.

"Now there is only Gia Lai region, an area equal to 1/4 of Dak Lak, equivalent to about 5,000 hectares and a few off-season durians in the West. While in the West such as Tien Giang, Ben Tre, durian output is also large but off-season durians are very small. Consumption demand in China remains the same while supply in countries such as Thailand, the Philippines, and Malaysia has also run out of off-season durians, so the price increase is understandable," said Mr. Nguyen.

Mr. Nguyen predicts that in the coming time, as goods become more scarce, durian prices may continue to increase. Last year, there was a period of off-season durian in the garden that reached 200,000 VND/kg.

“Currently, China's consumption demand is very large. In 2022, it was about 4 billion USD, this year it could reach 6 billion USD. It is forecasted that in the coming years, China can import up to nearly 20 billion USD, of which more than 80% of the output is imported from Thailand, the rest is divided equally among other countries such as Vietnam, Malaysia, and the Philippines,” Mr. Nguyen analyzed.

Mr. Nguyen said that China has a huge demand for durian, while they have not been able to grow durian. To be able to supply enough domestically and not depend on imports from abroad, China needs at least 20 more years to develop its growing areas. Not to mention that durian trees take at least 6 years to be harvested.

“Vietnam’s durian exports will still have value in the next 20 years, the export market will still be very good and the Chinese market alone is ready to cover the entire Southeast Asian region. Meanwhile, Vietnam has many advantages in road logistics, very convenient seaports, fast transportation time, low cost… Along with that, the Ministry of Transport is speeding up the construction of the North-South expressway, which will help reduce costs, speed up time, and help agricultural products compete better with other countries,” said Mr. Nguyen.

According to Mr. Nguyen, many countries are currently developing durian trees, but our country has the advantage. Vietnam needs to encourage people to grow them, but they need to follow the planning, ensure food safety, limit the use of pesticides, and not plant them in areas at risk of saltwater intrusion or in areas with low efficiency.

“If our products have good quality, reasonable prices, convenient logistics, and ensure safety according to importers' requirements, then we can rest assured that durian can compete with all countries in the region,” said Mr. Nguyen.

China's demand for durian imports is currently very large. (Illustration photo).

Traders find it difficult to buy goods.

On November 5, some durian purchasing businesses in Tien Giang reported that the purchase price of Ri 6 durian at the warehouse increased to 123,000 VND/kg (type 1 and type 2); 106,000 VND/kg (type 3) and the price of floating goods increased to 50,000 - 60,000 VND/kg.

For Monthong durian, the price at the warehouse for type 1 is 145,000 VND/kg, type 2 is 130,000 VND/kg, 30,000 - 40,000 VND/kg higher than a week ago, when Dak Lak still had stock.

Mr. Nguyen Van Trung (Cho Gao, Tien Giang), a business specializing in supplying durian to agents in Saigon, Hanoi and exporting to China, said that because it is the beginning of the off-season durian season in the West, only a few areas in Tien Giang and Ben Tre have durian to harvest.

"In the same period last year, the purchase price at the Ri 6 durian garden was only 70,000 - 80,000 VND/kg, this year it jumped to 120,000 VND/kg due to China's demand. As a durian specialist, there are days when we cannot buy any kg, and usually we can only buy 1-2 tons/day. To maintain operations, we have to sell other types of fruit such as coconut and green-skinned grapefruit," said Mr. Trung.

According to Mr. Trung, if all costs and profits are calculated, domestic retail durian grade 1 must be up to 200,000 VND/kg and about 600,000 VND/fruit - consumers cannot afford to buy so businesses have to cut profits to stabilize the system.

PHAM DUY

Source