From now until the end of the year, there is a possibility of about 5 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea.

NDO – It is forecasted that from October to December, the activity of tropical storms/depressions in the East Sea is likely to be higher than the average of many years; in which, the number of storms making landfall may be higher, concentrated in the Central region and the southern provinces. In addition, during this period, cold air is likely to be active, and severe cold in the North may appear from the second half of December.

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, ENSO is currently in a neutral state. From October to December, ENSO is likely to transition to La Nina state with a probability of 60-70%.

Accordingly, the average temperature in October nationwide is forecast to be 0.5-1 degree Celsius higher than the average of many years. In November-December, the average temperature is likely to be approximately the same; in the Northern and North-Central Central regions, it is likely to be about 0.5 degree Celsius lower than the average of many years during the same period.

From October to December, storm/tropical depression activity in the East Sea is forecasted to be at a level close to or higher than the multi-year average (multi-year average: 4.5 storms); in which the number of storms making landfall may be higher than the multi-year average (multi-year average: 1.9 storms) and concentrated in the Central region and southern provinces. Be on guard for the possibility of storms/tropical depressions forming right in the East Sea.

Notably, cold air is likely to be active in November and December, with severe cold in the North likely to appear from the second half of December (similar to the average of many years).

In addition, the rainy season in the Central region is likely to be concentrated mainly in October and November. The rainy season in the Central, Central Highlands and Southern regions may end later than usual (around the second half of December). In particular, there is a continued possibility of dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning and strong gusts of wind across the country.

Warning, tropical storms/depressions, southwest monsoons and northeast monsoons are likely to cause strong winds and large waves affecting activities at sea. In addition, heavy rain, thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail, cold spells and frosts may negatively affect production activities and public health in areas nationwide.

Regarding the flood situation in the last months of 2024, in the Northern region in October, on the Northern rivers, there is a possibility of floods with peak flood levels on main rivers at alert level 1, small rivers at alert level 1-alarm level 2. In November and December, river water levels change slowly.

In the North Central region, from October to November, rivers in Thanh Hoa are likely to experience 1-2 small floods; rivers in Nghe An and Ha Tinh are likely to experience 3-4 floods. The peak flood level of the downstream Ma River fluctuates at alert level 1, the downstream Ca and La Rivers are at alert level 1-alarm level 2 and above alert level 2. In December, the water level on the rivers gradually decreases.

In the Central Central region from October to December, there is a possibility of 3-5 floods on rivers, in which major floods on rivers are mainly concentrated from October to November. Peak flood levels on rivers are likely to be at alert level 2-3, with some rivers above alert level 3.

In the Central Highlands region from October to November, there is a possibility of 3-5 floods on rivers; peak flood water levels will reach alert level 2-3, with some rivers above alert level 3.

In the Southern region, from October to December, there is a possibility of 2-3 floods on the Dong Nai River. In addition, the water level of the Mekong River will gradually rise, peaking around October and fluctuating above alert level 1; the peak flood level at the downstream stations of the Mekong River will be at alert level 2-3 and above alert level 3, appearing in October to December.

Nhandan.vn

Source: https://nhandan.vn/tu-nay-den-cuoi-nam-kha-nang-xuat-hien-khoang-5-con-baoap-thap-nhiet-doi-tren-bien-dong-post833306.html