VN-Index is likely to retreat to a deeper support level around the 1,245 (+/-5) point area.
After 2 sessions of recovery at the support level of 1,250 points. VN-Index is under pressure to correct at the resistance level of around 1,265 points. At the end of the trading session on October 30, VN-Index decreased by -3.15 points (-0.25%) to 1,258.63 points. Liquidity decreased slightly compared to the previous session with a matched volume of -3.18% at HOSE. This shows relatively normal correction pressure. The market is divided, leaning towards negative with 170 stocks decreasing in price, 143 stocks increasing in price and 57 stocks maintaining the reference price. Positive stocks are concentrated in stocks with good growth in Q3 business results. Foreign investors maintained net selling in today's session with -143.88 billion VND.
According to experts from Agribank Securities Company (Agriseco), on the technical chart, VN-Index had difficulty breaking out of the near resistance level at 1,267 points. Stronger supply at the end of the morning session caused the index to retreat to fill the gap created in yesterday's trading session. Although forming a candlestick pattern with a short leg, VN-Index has not been able to confirm a return to the uptrend as investor sentiment is relatively cautious in the context of the market not having a leading industry group and demand is still quite reserved.
Agriseco maintains its view that the index will continue its tug-of-war trend in the current trading week and is likely to retreat to a deeper support level around the 1,245 (+/-5) point area to stimulate new demand to participate.
“Investors should limit new disbursements and keep cash ratio at a safe level to ensure a proactive position when the market experiences discounts to more attractive price ranges,” Agriseco experts noted.
VN-Index may retest the resistance zone of 1,270 - 1,275 points
According to the analysis team of ASEAN Securities Company (ASEANSC), the market fluctuated within a narrow range and consolidated the balance zone of 1,257 points. Momentum improved but liquidity remained sluggish, lacking the driving force from large-cap stocks, creating a period of mainly sideways movement. The market tends to continue consolidating the balance zone and recovering slowly. From a macro perspective, world oil prices remained stable at a 3-year low after a shocking increase and decrease in the first half of October, DXY and domestic exchange rates showed signs of slowing down in the last 3 sessions after a strong increase in recent times, at the same time, SBV began to make net injections back into the market, helping the general sentiment to be more positive after a period of great pressure.
“The market is expected to have short-term recovery sessions. Investors should closely follow exchange rate developments and SBV's moves on monetary policy, and consider disbursing when signs of a recovery trend appear more clearly along with trading volume. We maintain a positive assessment of the medium- and long-term market, focusing on stocks with good fundamentals and positive Q3 business results, waiting to disburse when stocks reach attractive valuations or confirm a recovery trend,” said an expert from Agriseco.
Sharing the same view, experts from Yuanta Vietnam Securities Company (YSVN) said that the market may return to the recovery rhythm in today's session, October 31, and the VN-Index may retest the resistance zone of 1,270 - 1,275 points. At the same time, the market is only in the technical recovery phase, although buying points are gradually appearing in the Midcaps and Smallcaps groups and short-term risks in these two groups of stocks are also decreasing. In addition, the short-term sentiment indicator increased slightly, showing that investors have also become less pessimistic about the current market developments.
“The short-term trend of the general market remains bearish. Therefore, investors can continue to hold a low proportion of stocks at 30-40% of their short-term portfolio and can buy new stocks at a low proportion to explore the short-term trend. At the same time, investors should limit selling at the current stage,” YSVN experts recommended.
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Source: https://vov.vn/thi-truong/chung-khoan/nhan-dinh-chung-khoan-3110-vn-index-co-the-thu-thach-lai-vung-khang-cu-1270-1275-diem-post1132117.vov
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