In legal trouble, Mr. Trump is further ahead of his opponent

Former US President Donald Trump speaks at an event in Washington DC on June 24.

A poll released by NBC News on June 25 showed that Mr. Trump is currently the number one choice in the Republican primary election. Mr. Trump received 51% of the nominations, far behind the 22% of his nearest rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, while former Vice President Mike Pence received 7%.

The gap between Mr. Trump and Mr. DeSantis in the latest poll is 29 percentage points, compared with 15 percentage points in a poll also conducted by NBC News in April.

NBC News conducted the most recent survey on June 16, one week after the US Department of Justice announced its decision to prosecute former President Trump on a total of 37 charges related to classified documents.

A survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) at Harvard University in collaboration with Harris Corporation (headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, USA) released in early June showed that Mr. Trump leads incumbent US President Joe Biden by 45% to 39% in the hypothetical 2024 presidential election.

The results of a survey published by Emerson College (Boston, Massachusetts, USA) on June 22 found that candidates outside the two Republican and Democratic parties in the US, such as philosopher Cornel West, could split votes with Mr. Biden, thereby giving Mr. Trump an advantage in the 2024 presidential election.

The results of the NBC News survey also reflect a reality: the federal indictment against Mr. Trump has led to a deeper political polarization among Americans about the former president. While 21% of respondents said they had an “extremely positive” view of Mr. Trump, up from 17% in April, 49% admitted to having an “extremely negative” view of him, up from 44% in the previous survey.

Only 20% of US voters think the country is on the right track under President Biden, down from 23% in January, while the survey figure under President Trump was 33%.

And just 18% of voters maintain a “very positive” view of Mr Biden, down from 29% during the first phase of the Biden-Harris term.

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