IMF raises global economic growth forecast

VTV.vn - Vietnam is mentioned by the IMF as a bright spot in Asia - Pacific, with stable growth, low inflation and is an attractive destination for new investment capital flows.

One of the notable economic data released last night was the International Monetary Fund's updated Global Economic Prospects Report, in which the agency raised its forecast for world economic growth this year to 3.2%, compared to 3% in the previous report.

Also according to the IMF's updated report, developed economies are likely to achieve a growth rate of 1.5%, while emerging and developing economies will achieve over 4%.

According to Mr. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas - Chief Economist of IMF, the impact of trade fluctuations on growth has been modest so far. IMF also forecasts global inflation to continue to decline in the coming time, although it is still quite high, at 4.2% this year and 3.7% next year.

IMF raises global economic growth forecast

Challenges and opportunities for the global economy

The challenges and opportunities for the global economy, pointed out in the IMF report, are also one of the main concerns dominating the annual conference of the IMF and the World Bank WB taking place in Washington, DC, USA.

Major US newspapers today simultaneously analyzed the challenges and opportunities of the global economy in the current period. The IMF said that the world economy is under pressure from trade policy and financial risks, but is still supported by a strong wave of investment in AI, a factor that is said to be able to "reshape the global growth landscape".

According to AP News, the IMF raised its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2%, higher than previously expected, thanks to renewed trade agreements and booming investment flows into AI. The US economy alone is expected to grow by 2%, showing better resilience than initially feared.

Reuters warned that global financial markets are too optimistic, with technology and AI stocks far outstripping their real value. The IMF said this could lead to a risk of a "sudden correction" if profits do not keep up with expectations. The fund also called on governments to control public debt and central banks to be more cautious in easing monetary policy to avoid asset bubbles.

The world is going through a period of great uncertainty, where risks and opportunities intertwine. And according to the IMF, opportunities will only belong to economies that can adapt quickly, invest in the right direction and maintain confidence in the market.

The Financial Times offers a more positive perspective: the wave of investment in AI helps the US economy avoid a deep recession, but at the same time warns that this could increase inflationary pressure and limit the ability of the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the near future.

The Washington Post said that while the IMF raised its global growth forecast, the organization still warned that high expectations for AI and US-China trade tensions could leave markets vulnerable. And current growth confidence remains fragile if further trade or financial shocks emerge.

In the turbulent world economic picture, Vietnam is mentioned by the IMF as a bright spot in Asia - Pacific, with stable growth, low inflation and an attractive destination for new investment capital. If it continues to maintain macroeconomic stability and promote reforms, Vietnam can completely step into the group of leading dynamic economies in the region.

Source: https://vtv.vn/imf-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-kinh-te-toan-cau-100251015094203991.htm