The heat in the North comes earlier and is more severe than many years ago.

The information was announced by Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, on the afternoon of March 21, at the conference to review the work of forecasting and warning of hydro-meteorological disasters in 2023 and assess the trend of natural disasters in 2024.

According to Mr. Lam, the number of hot days this year in the North is likely to be more and more severe than the average of many years. In the Northwest, the peak of the heat falls in May and June, while in the Northeast it falls in June and July.

This year's rainy season in the North is also forecast to take place according to the rules from around May to August.

Meanwhile, the Central Highlands and the South are likely to start the rainy season late. In June alone, the southwest monsoon tends to be stronger than the average of many years, causing increased rain in these two regions.

Nắng nóng ở miền Bắc đến sớm và gay gắt hơn nhiều năm - 1 — Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, gave his opinion on natural disaster trends in 2024 (Photo: Man Nhi).

Notably, from April to July, the flow volume on rivers in the Central and Central Highlands regions is forecast to be 15-55% lower than average. Only a few rivers from Thua Thien Hue to Khanh Hoa have flow volumes at or above the average of many years.

On the Da River, this year's flood season trend is at a deficit of 30-50% compared to the same period in previous years and only 5-10% higher than in 2023. This deficit on the Gam River and Chay River is 20-30%; on the Thao River, Lo River and Red River is 40-50%.

In the Central and Central Highlands regions, experts warn of the risk of drought and water shortage in the provinces of Binh Thuan , Kon Tum, Gia Lai, Dak Lak, Dak Nong, Lam Dong from April to June; and the provinces of Quang Nam, Quang Ngai, Phu Yen, Khanh Hoa, Ninh Thuan from May to August.

2023 marks a year with a rare lack of storms in history, both in the Northwest - Pacific region and the East Sea. In the past year, the East Sea was hit by 5 storms and 3 tropical depressions, but none of them directly affected our mainland.

Regarding the development of this year's storm season, the leader of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that the East Sea is likely to receive 11-13 storms and tropical depressions, approximately average. Most likely, this pattern will be concentrated in the second half of the season in the Central region.

This forecast is also consistent with the assessment that heavy rain is likely to occur in the last months of the year in the Central region, concentrated from September to November.

Speaking further at the Conference, Mr. Pham Ho Quoc Tuan, Deputy Director of the Southern Hydrometeorological Station, said that from now until April, the main weather in the South will still be little rain, hot sun, and high general temperature.

Especially in April and May, the region may record prolonged heat waves, occurring widely in both the Eastern and Western regions of the South.

In addition, the total rainfall in April and May is lower than the average of many years. Therefore, the water source from the Mekong River flowing to the Mekong Delta is still lacking. The start of the rainy season in the South is likely to come late, around the middle week of May.

Source