News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow, July 29, 2025: Domestic prices increase, international prices wait for US tax storm?

Coffee prices 7/29: Domestic prices increase sharply. International prices are stable, waiting for developments in Brazil's import tax from the US and the resolution of the VAT issue in Vietnam.

Update coffee prices today 7/28/2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 28, 2025 started the week with a new increase, with the increase ranging from 900 to 1,100 VND/kg. Bringing the current coffee price to about 96,000 - 96,700 VND/kg.

Specifically:

In Dak Lak , today's coffee price is 96,500 VND/kg, an increase of 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

In Lam Dong , today's coffee price is 96,000 VND/kg, an increase of 1,000 VND compared to yesterday.

In Gia Lai , today's coffee price is 96,300 VND/kg, an increase of 900 VND compared to yesterday.

In Dak Nong (old, now merged into Lam Dong), today's coffee price is 96,700 VND/kg, an increase of 1,100 VND compared to yesterday.

Robusta Coffee Price London 28/07/2025

In the world market, London Robusta coffee on July 28, 2025 remained unchanged in all trading terms. The nearest futures contract for September 2025 remained unchanged, at 3,228 USD/ton, equivalent to an increase of 0.00%.

The following terms such as 11/2025, 01/2026, 03/2026 and 05/2026 all keep the same price, corresponding to a decrease of 0.00%.

Arabica coffee price on New York floor on July 28, 2025

Similarly, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor on July 28, 2025 remained unchanged at all trading terms. The nearest term in September 2025 remained unchanged at 297.55 cents/lb, equivalent to 0.00%.

The remaining terms also remain unchanged: December 2025 unchanged (0.00%); March 2026 unchanged (0.00%); May 2026 unchanged (0.00%); and July 2026 unchanged (0.00%).

News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow 7/29/2025

Domestic coffee price forecast on July 29, 2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 28, 2025 started the week with a significant increase from VND900 to VND1,100/kg, bringing the current price to VND96,000 - VND96,700/kg. This shows that the upward momentum is still strong, reflecting domestic market demand or supply factors.

With the current upward trend, domestic coffee prices are forecasted to continue to increase slightly or stabilize at a high level on July 29, 2025. Factors such as transportation costs, production costs, and dealer purchasing demand will continue to affect prices.

World Coffee Price Forecast July 29, 2025

In the world market, Robusta and Arabica coffee prices remained unchanged on July 28, 2025, across all trading terms. This shows that the market is in a stable phase after previous fluctuations, or is waiting for new information to shape the trend.

However, forecasts for Vietnam and Brazil’s coffee production in 2025-2026 suggest that supplies could increase. Specifically, Vietnam’s coffee production is expected to increase by 7% (Robusta by 6.5%, Arabica by 23%), and the USDA also forecasts that Vietnam’s coffee production will increase from 29 million bags to 31 million bags. Brazil is also harvesting faster than expected.

However, world coffee prices are under pressure from macro factors such as the possibility of the US imposing a 50% import tax on Brazilian coffee beans from August 1, which has caused BMI to adjust its average price forecast for 2025 down from $3.4/pound to $3.0/pound.

With this information, the world coffee price forecast on July 29, 2025 may continue to maintain stability or have slight fluctuations. The main factors will be:

Robusta London Price: May remain stable or have a small correction.

Arabica New York Price: May also remain stable or have minor fluctuations.

Other influencing factors: Developments in US import tariffs on Brazilian coffee and Vietnam's export situation (especially the 5% VAT issue for exporting enterprises) will be factors that need to be closely monitored.

General future trends

The overall trend of the coffee market in the coming time will depend on the balance between supply and demand, along with macroeconomic factors and trade policies.

Supply: Expected output growth in Vietnam and Brazil will put pressure on prices, especially if demand does not increase accordingly.

Demand: Global consumption demand will be the deciding factor.

Trade policy: Policies such as US import tariffs on Brazilian coffee and Vietnam's VAT policy will have a significant impact on export activities and prices. The capital pressure faced by Vietnamese coffee exporters due to the 5% VAT may affect competitiveness and export volume.

Export value: The sharp decline in Vietnam's coffee export value in the first half of July (to only 208.5 million USD compared to the previous record of 500 million USD) shows some ongoing challenges, although the export price of Robusta remains high.

Overall, the coffee market is likely to see short-term volatility due to policy and supply factors, while the long-term trend will depend on demand growth and the adaptability of major producing countries.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/tin-tuc-du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-29-7-2025-gia-noi-dia-tang-quoc-te-cho-bao-thue-my-3298124.html