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The Japanese Yen edged up slightly, while the US Dollar remained high.

Báo Lao ĐộngBáo Lao Động29/01/2024


Today's USD exchange rate

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the fluctuations of the US dollar against six major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), recorded a level of 103.41 points.

Today's USD exchange rate. Photo: CNBC
Today's USD exchange rate. Photo: CNBC

The US dollar started the week with a slight increase. Markets are scrutinizing US economic data ahead of this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also contributing to risk aversion.

The USD Index edged up 0.01% to 103.55 on Monday. The DXY is expected to rise 2% in January as the market reduces expectations of an early US interest rate cut.

In December, the Fed surprised the market with a dovish stance and projected a 75-basis-point interest rate cut in 2024. However, since then, strong economic data and responses from other central banks have led the market to adjust expectations. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the market now assesses a 48% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in March. This probability was 86% last month.

Marc Chandler, a market expert at Bannockburn Forex, said: “The market recognizes that the tightening cycle is over. The correction trend will continue in the coming weeks.”

Data released over the weekend showed that prices in the US rose at a moderate pace in December 2023. This kept annual inflation below 3% for the third consecutive month, fueling expectations of potential interest rate cuts this year.

The focus this week is the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, beginning on Tuesday. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with all eyes on comments from Chairman Jerome Powell.

Paul Mackel, HSBC's foreign exchange research specialist, commented: "This week's meeting will be very simple… There is little reason for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to change policy. The focus will be on Powell's attitude."

Besides the Fed, investors are also monitoring a range of economic data, including the US payroll report. This data will help assess the strength of the US labor market.

The Euro fell 0.05% to 1.0847 against the US dollar. The British pound was at 1.2703 GBP/USD, up 0.04%.

The yen rose 0.01% to 148.14 JPY/USD. The Asian currency recorded its weakest monthly performance since June 2022.

The market is currently on high alert due to increasing geopolitical risks in the Middle East. This could help the Yen regain its position as a safe haven asset.

Elsewhere, the AUD/USD exchange rate is at 0.659, while the NZD/USD rate is 0.610.



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