Mr. Trump was elected president, what is the scenario for conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine?

Donald Trump is almost certain to become the next president of the United States. Now, observers are paying close attention to his foreign policy statements during the election campaign.

During his election campaigns, Trump repeatedly mentioned his position and commitments regarding America's role in current global events, including the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Position towards Ukraine

During numerous campaign rallies, he declared that if elected, he could end the war in Ukraine "within 24 hours," even before officially taking office.

Donald Trump speaks in Florida on November 6th.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was among the first leaders to congratulate Trump. Writing on the social media platform X, Zelensky emphasized: "I appreciate Trump's commitment to the ' peace through strength' approach in global affairs. This is precisely the principle that can practically bring a just peace closer to Ukraine."

Last year, Trump asserted that if he were president, Russia would not have launched the war in Ukraine, adding that he could end the conflict in 24 hours, although he did not elaborate on how he would do so. He also criticized the aid that the Biden administration has provided to Ukraine, which, according to the State Department, has exceeded $64 billion in military aid alone to date.

What challenges does Ukraine expect after the US election?

Al Jazeera reported on November 6th, quoting Leslie Vinjamuri, Director of the US and Americas program at the Chatham House Institute in London, that Trump's commitments might include reaching an agreement with Russia but would affect Ukraine's territorial rights. Reuters also quoted Trump last year as saying that Ukraine might have to cede territory if it wanted to reach an agreement with Russia, something Kyiv firmly opposes.

On the Russian side, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Moscow would monitor the situation and assess Trump's initial statements and actions since becoming president on issues related to Russia, according to TASS on November 6. Peskov emphasized that incumbent US President Joe Biden will continue to perform his duties until he officially hands over the position to his successor.

Furthermore, Trump's relationship with NATO members during his first term was also strained, with the former US president arguing that NATO countries had failed to meet military spending targets and that Washington was spending more money than necessary. He also warned that the US would not defend nations that were late in paying their contributions. "NATO will face the most serious existential threat since its founding," said Brett Bruen, a former foreign policy advisor in the administration of former President Barack Obama.

What will happen to the Middle East?

Trump is also expected to face a more unstable Middle East. Israel is waging wars in Gaza and Lebanon, as well as confronting Iran. Trump has expressed support for Israel's war to eliminate Hamas, but is believed to have urged Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to get the job done quickly.

Netanyahu quickly sent his congratulations to Trump on his election as president. Meanwhile, senior Hamas official Sami Abu Zuhri said Trump would be tested for claiming he could end the war within hours as US president. "We urge Trump to learn from the mistakes of (US President Joe) Biden," Abu Zuhri told Reuters.

Trump wants the Gaza conflict to end before he takes office.

Former President Trump is expected to continue supplying weapons to Israel. His policy toward Israel is likely to have no strings attached to humanitarian concerns, and he may give Netanyahu more freedom of choice with Iran, with which Trump has taken a hardline stance, according to Reuters.

However, Trump could face a new crisis if Iran, which has accelerated its nuclear programs since he abandoned the nuclear deal with Tehran in 2018, rushes to develop new weapons.

The last time Trump was in the White House, he presided over the signing of the Abraham Accords between Israel, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Bahrain. But those diplomatic agreements did not help advance the establishment of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas congratulated Donald Trump on his presidential election victory, expressing confidence that Trump would support the Palestinians' "legitimate aspirations" for the establishment of a state.

However, Trump may push for the normalization of historical relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, an effort initiated during his first term and also pursued by President Biden.

Source: https://thanhnien.vn/ong-trump-dac-cu-tong-thong-kich-ban-nao-cho-xung-dot-o-trung-dong-ukraine-185241106192513266.htm