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News, forecast for coffee prices tomorrow, July 25, 2025: Vietnam scores a 7% increase, will the scenario of increasing coffee prices repeat?

Vietnam increases output by 7%, will coffee prices on July 25 "cool down" the market when frost threatens Brazil and US taxes are hanging in the balance?

Báo Đà NẵngBáo Đà Nẵng24/07/2025

Update coffee prices today 7/24/2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 24, 2025 continued their streak of two consecutive days of slight increases, with an average increase of 400 to 500 VND/kg, bringing the current coffee price to around 95,700 - 96,200 VND/kg. In key localities, the increase ranged from 400 to 500 VND/kg.

Domestic coffee price today, July 24, 2025 - Unit: VND/kg - Exchange rate according to Vietcombank . Photo: giacaphe

Specifically:

In Dak Lak , today's coffee price is 96,000 VND/kg, an increase of 500 VND compared to yesterday.

In Lam Dong , today's coffee price is 95,700 VND/kg, an increase of 400 VND compared to yesterday.

In Gia Lai, today's coffee price is 96,000 VND/kg, an increase of 500 VND compared to yesterday.

In Dak Nong (old, now merged into Lam Dong), today's coffee price is 96,200 VND/kg, an increase of 500 VND compared to yesterday.

London Robusta Coffee on 24/07/2025 recorded a slight downward trend

On the world market, London Robusta coffee on July 24, 2025 recorded mixed fluctuations in trading terms. The latest September 2025 futures contract increased slightly by 11 USD/ton to 3,300 USD/ton, equivalent to an increase of 0.33%.

However, the following terms such as 11/2025, 01/2026, 03/2026 and 05/2026 all decreased slightly by 2 to 3 USD/ton, equivalent to a decrease of about 0.06% to 0.09%. The highest price of the session fluctuated around 3,163 - 3,311 USD/ton.

Arabica coffee on the New York floor on July 24, 2025 also recorded a slight increase.

Similarly, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor on July 24, 2025 also recorded a strong increase in all trading terms. The nearest term in September 2025 increased by 5.00 cents, equivalent to 1.69%, to 301.35 cents/lb.

The remaining maturities also increased simultaneously: December 2025 increased by 5.10 cents (1.77%); March 2026 increased by 4.90 cents (1.74%); May 2026 increased by 4.90 cents (1.77%); and July 2026 increased by 4.70 cents (1.73%). This increase reflects the positive sentiment of investors in the prospect of positive demand for Arabica coffee.

News, forecast of coffee prices tomorrow 7/25/2025

Domestic coffee price forecast on July 25, 2025

Domestic coffee prices on July 25, 2025, may be affected by mixed international and domestic factors. While the prospect of a larger crop in Vietnam (up about 7%) may put downward pressure on prices, concerns about frost in Brazil on the world market may support prices.

Reticent buying by roasters and the impact of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) will also be factors to watch, potentially keeping the domestic market cautious. As a result, domestic coffee prices may be volatile, with a sideways or slightly downward trend if domestic supply does indeed increase sharply and global market pressure is not strong enough to offset.

World coffee price forecast on July 25, 2025

World coffee prices on July 25, 2025 are likely to continue to be complicated. Concerns about the possibility of frost damage to the crop in Brazil, according to Climatempo's forecast, could continue to push coffee prices higher, especially Arabica coffee, as inventories of this type are at their lowest level in 3 months.

However, Robusta’s upside could be capped by ICE-monitored inventories reaching their highest levels in nearly a year, while news of ample supplies from new harvests in Brazil and Indonesia, along with the prospect of a larger crop in Vietnam (the top Robusta producer), will put downward pressure on prices.

The market is also closely watching the possibility of the US imposing a 50% tariff on coffee imports from Brazil from August 1. If this happens, the flow of Robusta coffee from Brazil to Europe could increase, putting further pressure on Robusta prices. The reversal in London prices shows early signs of a structural shift, but there is no clear sign that the futures curve will return to normal soon.

General future trends

Looking ahead, the global coffee market will continue to be influenced by the balance between supply and demand, extreme weather events and international trade policies. Factors such as climate change (frost, drought), inventory levels, and import and export activities of major producing countries such as Brazil, Vietnam and Indonesia will be key factors in shaping prices.

The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) is also expected to have a significant impact on the global coffee supply chain, potentially causing structural adjustments and affecting trade flows. The divergence between the New York and London markets, with wide and unusually inverted spreads, highlights the volatility and unpredictability of the futures market.

In this context, investors and businesses need to continue to closely monitor weather reports, inventory data, and policy developments to make appropriate decisions. The coffee market in the future may continue to witness strong fluctuations, requiring high flexibility and adaptability from participants.

Source: https://baodanang.vn/tin-tuc-du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-mai-25-7-2025-viet-nam-ghi-diem-tang-7-kich-ban-tang-gia-ca-phe-co-lap-lai-3297780.html


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