US stocks rise despite risk of government shutdown

VTV.vn - The risk of a temporary US government shutdown starting today, October 1, US time, is a hot issue of top concern to global markets.

Dow Jones index sets new record despite risk of US government shutdown

According to the latest estimates from the US Congressional Budget Office, if it becomes a reality, this government shutdown will cause 750,000 US government employees to be temporarily laid off. At the same time, this will also cause a series of important economic data from the US Department of Labor to be temporarily suspended, including the non-farm payroll report next week, and then the CPI consumer price index.

Despite these challenges, investors on Wall Street do not seem too concerned about this risk, as major indexes maintained their upward momentum last night.

At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose slightly by more than 80 points, or about 0.2%. Leading the gains was the S&P 500 Composite Index, which rose about 0.4%. Technology stocks - the main driver of the market - remained in a tug-of-war with some software stocks turning lower, but names related to artificial intelligence such as Nvidia maintained their upward momentum.

US stocks rise despite risk of government shutdown

Mr. Art Hogan, an expert at B. Riley Wealth Management, commented that the market seems to be ignoring the risk of a government shutdown.

According to analysts, the government shutdown will not have a major impact on the US economy unless it is prolonged. Although some services are disrupted, experts expect the economy to recover when the government is back in operation. However, the government shutdown will delay the release of important economic data, including the September 2025 jobs report - scheduled for October 3.

Neil Wilson, investment strategist at Saxo, said markets typically don’t react strongly to government shutdowns, as most last only a few days. Investors tend to take a long-term view, and short-term disruptions don’t typically have a significant impact on corporate profits. But he warned this time could be different, as deep political divisions could lead to a prolonged shutdown, which could have a negative impact on the stock market. He also noted that recent changes in economic policy, coupled with the White House’s threat of mass layoffs, have increased uncertainty and the risk of a recession.

Analysts say optimism about artificial intelligence and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve have fueled the stock rally. However, some economic data is showing signs of weakness. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell 3.6 points to 94.2 in September 2025 - its lowest level since April 2025 - reflecting growing concerns about inflation.

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