Forecast of storm Fengshen entering the East Sea on the afternoon of October 19

Updated as of the afternoon of October 18 from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the center of storm Fengshen was at about 13.2 degrees North latitude - 125.2 degrees East longitude, in the sea east of the central Philippines, about 480km southeast of Luzon Island.

The strongest wind near the storm center is level 8 (62-74km/h), gusting to level 10. The storm moves in a West Northwest direction at a speed of about 20km/h.

Location and forecast trajectory of storm Fengshen on the afternoon of October 18

In the next 24 to 36 hours, storm Fengshen will continue to move in the West-Northwest direction at an average speed of 15-25km/hour, passing through the central Philippines, then entering the East Sea on the afternoon of October 19 and is likely to become storm number 12 in 2025 (in the East Sea).

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, by the afternoon of October 20, the storm's center may be about 550km east-northeast of Hoang Sa archipelago, with a level 9-10 intensity and gusts of level 13.

By the afternoon of October 21, the storm center was about 330km northeast of Hoang Sa archipelago, with intensity increasing to level 11, gusting to level 13.

From around October 21, the storm tends to change direction to the Southwest, then moves mainly in the Southwest direction, stabilizes in intensity and gradually weakens.

The North East Sea area, including the waters around the Hoang Sa archipelago, is forecast to have strong winds of level 10-11, gusting to level 13, and very rough seas from October 20 to 22.

The meteorological agency warned that this is a complex storm, its trajectory may change during its movement due to the impact of cold air.

According to the assessment of the Department of Hydrometeorology ( Ministry of Agriculture and Environment ), after entering the East Sea, storm No. 12 is forecast to move mainly in the West-Northwest direction (the intensity tends to increase, by around October 22 when the storm moves to the North of Hoang Sa special zone, the intensity will increase to level 11, gusting to level 13).

The characteristic of storm No. 12 is that when it enters the East Sea, the East Sea is under the influence of cold air. The cold air mass blocks the western part of the storm, making it less likely that the storm will move westward to enter the North or mainland China.

Therefore, when reaching the Hoang Sa special zone with the strongest intensity of level 11, gusting to level 13, storm number 12 will be penetrated by cold air, most likely weakening into a tropical depression before affecting the central mainland.

According to the representative of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, although the possibility of affecting the mainland of the Central region is not high, but with the impact of the storm circulation combined with cold air in the northern seas and the middle of the East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), the sea area of the Gulf of Tonkin as well as the sea area from Quang Tri - Quang Ngai in the coming days will often have strong winds from level 6-8 or higher, waves 3-4m high.

Notably, due to the influence of the circulation after storm No. 12 combined with the impact of cold air, from October 23 to 26, the area from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai will experience a widespread period of moderate to heavy rain.

ANGEL

Source: https://www.sggp.org.vn/du-bao-bao-fengshen-phong-than-vao-bien-dong-chieu-19-10-post818754.html