Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, 11:30 p.m. April 12: Soul at Bernabeu

Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, 11:30 p.m. April 12: Soul at Bernabeu photo 1

Prediction before the match Arsenal vs Brentford

Arsenal face Brentford in the Premier League tonight, a game that Mikel Arteta's side are favourites to win. However, with an impressive midweek win over Real Madrid in the Champions League and a crucial second leg coming up, Arsenal could rotate their squad, leaving Brentford open to a surprise result.

According to the Opta supercomputer, Arsenal have a 56.4% chance of winning, while Brentford have a 20.7% chance of winning all three points, and a 22.9% chance of a draw. These numbers reflect Arsenal's superiority, but do not rule out the possibility of an unexpected scenario, especially given Brentford's good form in recent London derbies.

Brentford have won both of their last two Premier League away London derbies, ending a run of seven consecutive defeats away from home to their cross-town rivals, and there is reason to believe that Brentford can cause Arsenal problems, especially with Mikel Arteta unlikely to field his strongest XI.

Arsenal have just won a memorable victory over Real Madrid in the Champions League, with Declan Rice shining with two classy free-kicks. With a 3-0 advantage, the Gunners have a great chance of reaching the semi-finals even though they have to play the second leg at the Bernabeu. However, the tight schedule has made coach Mikel Arteta have to calculate. In the Premier League, the Gunners are 11 points behind Liverpool and have almost no chance of winning the title with only 7 rounds left. According to the general opinion of experts and fans, Arsenal should save their strength for the European arena.

Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, 11:30 p.m. April 12: Soul at Bernabeu photo 2

Will Saka continue to sit on the bench?

As such, Mikel Arteta is likely to keep key players like Rice, Bukayo Saka and Jurrien Timber – who picked up minor injuries in midweek – fit, which could see him use younger or reserve players, reducing the overall strength of the squad.

Brentford, meanwhile, are safely in mid-table, with no relegation worries but few European places to play for. They still have the incentive of earning a higher-placed bonus and the chance to make history with a first-ever win at the Emirates – something they haven’t done since their only away win at Highbury in 1938.

Head to head history, form Arsenal vs Brentford

Arsenal have an overwhelming advantage in their history against Brentford. They have only lost once at home to Brentford, a 2-0 defeat at Highbury almost a century ago (April 1938). More recently, Brentford shocked Arsenal by beating Arsenal 2-0 in their Premier League opener in August 2021, but since then they have drawn once and lost five of their six meetings with the Gunners.

In the first leg of this season's tie on January 1, Arsenal won 3-1 at Brentford. Bryan Mbeumo opened the scoring for the home side in the 13th minute, but goals from Gabriel Jesus, Mikel Merino and Gabriel Martinelli helped Arsenal make a convincing comeback.

Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction, 11:30 p.m. April 12: Soul at Bernabeu photo 3