Comments, predictions Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul: Bad luck for Paul

With a chance to reach the US Open quarterfinals on the line, Jannik Sinner will face Tommy Paul for the first time at a Grand Slam on Monday at Flushing Meadows.

The Italian No. 1 easily overcame Christopher O'Connell 6-1, 6-4, 6-2 in his previous match, while Paul came from behind to beat Gabriel Diallo 6-7 (7-5), 6-3, 6-1, 7-6 (7-3).

Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul's latest US Open journey

Jannik Sinner:

Round 1: vs. Mackenzie McDonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2

Round 2: vs. Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2

Round 3: vs. Christopher O'Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2

Tommy Paul:

Round 1: vs. Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2

Round 2: vs. Max Purcell 7-5 6-0 1-0 (retired)

Round 3: vs. Gabriel Diallo 6-7 (7-5) 6-3 6-1 7-6 (7-3)

Latest head-to-head history Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul

Madrid Open (2022) - Round 1 - Sinner won 6-7 (4) 7-6 (4) 6-3

Viking International (2022) - Second Round - Paul wins 6-3 3-6 6-3

National Bank Open (2023) - Semi-finals - Sinner won 6-4 6-4

More than two years ago, when they first faced each other, Sinner had a clear advantage in second serves, winning 66% to Paul's 44%. However, just a month later, when the two met again, Paul had improved and had a slight advantage in second serves, winning 59% to Sinner's 53%, which helped him win when both players were hitting 81% of their first serves.

At last year's National Bank Open, Sinner won 78% of his first serves, while Paul only won 60%, helping the Italian win in straight sets.

Latest Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul match review

A first-set loss in his opening match of the tournament seemed to be the impetus Jannik Sinner needed to improve his hard-court form. The reigning Australian Open champion has not dropped a set since a shock 6-2 first-set loss to Mackenzie McDonald, and he has advanced to the fourth round of the tournament for the fourth time in a row.

Sinner's serve was impressive on Saturday, hitting 15 aces and winning 82% of his points on his first serve. Monday will mark his sixth consecutive fourth-round appearance at a Grand Slam, with Sinner having lost at this stage at the 2021 and 2023 US Opens to Alexander Zverev on both occasions.

This will also be his fifth singles match against an American at the tournament, and Sinner has won all four of their previous encounters. Despite winning just 60 percent of his first-serve points on hard courts this year, the 23-year-old has made up for it by winning 92 percent of his service games on the surface.

Score prediction Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul

Paul may have the support of the crowd, which could give him a significant advantage, but Sinner's resilience and overall form have been impressive in the last two games. We believe he will continue his high level of form on Monday.

Our prediction: Sinner wins in four sets

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